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Where will it snow first?

icon for Where will it snow first?

Where will it snow first?

Detroit 100.0%

Chicago <1%

New York City <1%

St. Louis <1%

Polymarket

$74,312 Vol.

Detroit 100.0%

Chicago <1%

New York City <1%

St. Louis <1%

Polymarket

$74,312 Vol.

Chicago

$21,829 Vol.

No

Detroit

$24,386 Vol.

Yes

New York City

$10,268 Vol.

No

St. Louis

$17,828 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the first listed city that records a daily snowfall of at least 0.1 inches, as recorded by the National Weather Service (NWS). This market will use a daily timeframe. If two or more cities record a snowfall of at least 0.1 inches on the same day, they will be treated as tied, regardless of when the snowfall occurred or was reported. If two or more cities tie for the first snowfall day, this market will resolve according to the city with the highest snowfall on that day. If two or more tied cities also record the same amount of snowfall, this market will resolve according to the city whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. If no qualifying snowfall occurs in any of these cities during this market’s timeframe, this market will remain open until the first qualifying snowfall in any listed city is recorded. If no qualifying snowfall occurs in any of these cities by May 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be the National Weather Service, specifically the figure for "SNOWFALL (IN)" when "Daily Climate Report (CLI)" is selected under "Observed Weather" after navigating to the relevant city & location from https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate. The relevant National Weather Service locations for this market will be Central Park (New York City), Detroit, MI (Detroit), Chicago O’Hare (Chicago), and St. Louis, MO (St. Louis).

This market will resolve according to the first listed city that records a daily snowfall of at least 0.1 inches, as recorded by the National Weather Service (NWS).

This market will use a daily timeframe. If two or more cities record a snowfall of at least 0.1 inches on the same day, they will be treated as tied, regardless of when the snowfall occurred or was reported.

If two or more cities tie for the first snowfall day, this market will resolve according to the city with the highest snowfall on that day. If two or more tied cities also record the same amount of snowfall, this market will resolve according to the city whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.

If no qualifying snowfall occurs in any of these cities during this market’s timeframe, this market will remain open until the first qualifying snowfall in any listed city is recorded. If no qualifying snowfall occurs in any of these cities by May 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be the National Weather Service, specifically the figure for "SNOWFALL (IN)" when "Daily Climate Report (CLI)" is selected under "Observed Weather" after navigating to the relevant city & location from https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate. The relevant National Weather Service locations for this market will be Central Park (New York City), Detroit, MI (Detroit), Chicago O’Hare (Chicago), and St. Louis, MO (St. Louis).
Volume
$74,312
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 1, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Nov 21, 2025, 2:07 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the first listed city that records a daily snowfall of at least 0.1 inches, as recorded by the National Weather Service (NWS). This market will use a daily timeframe. If two or more cities record a snowfall of at least 0.1 inches on the same day, they will be treated as tied, regardless of when the snowfall occurred or was reported. If two or more cities tie for the first snowfall day, this market will resolve according to the city with the highest snowfall on that day. If two or more tied cities also record the same amount of snowfall, this market will resolve according to the city whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. If no qualifying snowfall occurs in any of these cities during this market’s timeframe, this market will remain open until the first qualifying snowfall in any listed city is recorded. If no qualifying snowfall occurs in any of these cities by May 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be the National Weather Service, specifically the figure for "SNOWFALL (IN)" when "Daily Climate Report (CLI)" is selected under "Observed Weather" after navigating to the relevant city & location from https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate. The relevant National Weather Service locations for this market will be Central Park (New York City), Detroit, MI (Detroit), Chicago O’Hare (Chicago), and St. Louis, MO (St. Louis).

Na-propose ang outcome: No

Walang dispute

Pinal na outcome: No

This market will resolve according to the first listed city that records a daily snowfall of at least 0.1 inches, as recorded by the National Weather Service (NWS). This market will use a daily timeframe. If two or more cities record a snowfall of at least 0.1 inches on the same day, they will be treated as tied, regardless of when the snowfall occurred or was reported. If two or more cities tie for the first snowfall day, this market will resolve according to the city with the highest snowfall on that day. If two or more tied cities also record the same amount of snowfall, this market will resolve according to the city whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. If no qualifying snowfall occurs in any of these cities during this market’s timeframe, this market will remain open until the first qualifying snowfall in any listed city is recorded. If no qualifying snowfall occurs in any of these cities by May 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be the National Weather Service, specifically the figure for "SNOWFALL (IN)" when "Daily Climate Report (CLI)" is selected under "Observed Weather" after navigating to the relevant city & location from https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate. The relevant National Weather Service locations for this market will be Central Park (New York City), Detroit, MI (Detroit), Chicago O’Hare (Chicago), and St. Louis, MO (St. Louis).

This market will resolve according to the first listed city that records a daily snowfall of at least 0.1 inches, as recorded by the National Weather Service (NWS).

This market will use a daily timeframe. If two or more cities record a snowfall of at least 0.1 inches on the same day, they will be treated as tied, regardless of when the snowfall occurred or was reported.

If two or more cities tie for the first snowfall day, this market will resolve according to the city with the highest snowfall on that day. If two or more tied cities also record the same amount of snowfall, this market will resolve according to the city whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.

If no qualifying snowfall occurs in any of these cities during this market’s timeframe, this market will remain open until the first qualifying snowfall in any listed city is recorded. If no qualifying snowfall occurs in any of these cities by May 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be the National Weather Service, specifically the figure for "SNOWFALL (IN)" when "Daily Climate Report (CLI)" is selected under "Observed Weather" after navigating to the relevant city & location from https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate. The relevant National Weather Service locations for this market will be Central Park (New York City), Detroit, MI (Detroit), Chicago O’Hare (Chicago), and St. Louis, MO (St. Louis).
Volume
$74,312
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 1, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Nov 21, 2025, 2:07 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the first listed city that records a daily snowfall of at least 0.1 inches, as recorded by the National Weather Service (NWS). This market will use a daily timeframe. If two or more cities record a snowfall of at least 0.1 inches on the same day, they will be treated as tied, regardless of when the snowfall occurred or was reported. If two or more cities tie for the first snowfall day, this market will resolve according to the city with the highest snowfall on that day. If two or more tied cities also record the same amount of snowfall, this market will resolve according to the city whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. If no qualifying snowfall occurs in any of these cities during this market’s timeframe, this market will remain open until the first qualifying snowfall in any listed city is recorded. If no qualifying snowfall occurs in any of these cities by May 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be the National Weather Service, specifically the figure for "SNOWFALL (IN)" when "Daily Climate Report (CLI)" is selected under "Observed Weather" after navigating to the relevant city & location from https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate. The relevant National Weather Service locations for this market will be Central Park (New York City), Detroit, MI (Detroit), Chicago O’Hare (Chicago), and St. Louis, MO (St. Louis).

Na-propose ang outcome: No

Walang dispute

Pinal na outcome: No

Mag-ingat sa mga external link.

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Where will it snow first?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 4 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Detroit" sa 100%, sinusundan ng "Chicago" sa 0%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 100¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 100% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Where will it snow first?" ay naka-generate ng $74.3K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Nov 21, 2025. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Where will it snow first?," i-browse ang 4 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Where will it snow first?" ay "Detroit" sa 100%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 100% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Chicago" sa 0%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Where will it snow first?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.