Google's ongoing delays with the Gemini 3.5 Pro flagship model, teased at I/O in May 2026 with a June target that slipped repeatedly, represent the main driver of trader sentiment favoring no release by November 1. Persistent internal testing, performance tuning for long-horizon agentic tasks, and incorporation of Flash learnings have kept the Pro variant sidelined while Google ships frequent Flash updates, including 3.8 Flash on September 2. Intense competition from OpenAI and Anthropic models has heightened scrutiny on quality thresholds, with no firm public timeline beyond partner testing and "as soon as ready" statements. This uncertainty, alongside early work on an ambitious Gemini 4 pre-training run, underscores the market's emphasis on historical slippage patterns in Google's frontier releases.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateWhen will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?
When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?
No release by November 1 28%
September 28–October 4 19.8%
October 12–October 18 12%
September 21–September 27 7.3%
$39,845 Vol.
$39,845 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
August 31–September 6
1%
September 7–September 13
5%
September 14–September 20
5%
September 21–September 27
7%
September 28–October 4
20%
October 5–October 11
4%
October 12–October 18
12%
October 19–October 25
6%
October 26–November 1
3%
No release by November 1
28%
No release by November 1 28%
September 28–October 4 19.8%
October 12–October 18 12%
September 21–September 27 7.3%
$39,845 Vol.
$39,845 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
August 31–September 6
$349 Vol.
1%
September 7–September 13
$1,150 Vol.
5%
September 14–September 20
$400 Vol.
5%
September 21–September 27
$541 Vol.
7%
September 28–October 4
$486 Vol.
20%
October 5–October 11
$373 Vol.
4%
October 12–October 18
$586 Vol.
12%
October 19–October 25
$427 Vol.
6%
October 26–November 1
$451 Vol.
3%
No release by November 1
$34,304 Vol.
28%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's ongoing delays with the Gemini 3.5 Pro flagship model, teased at I/O in May 2026 with a June target that slipped repeatedly, represent the main driver of trader sentiment favoring no release by November 1. Persistent internal testing, performance tuning for long-horizon agentic tasks, and incorporation of Flash learnings have kept the Pro variant sidelined while Google ships frequent Flash updates, including 3.8 Flash on September 2. Intense competition from OpenAI and Anthropic models has heightened scrutiny on quality thresholds, with no firm public timeline beyond partner testing and "as soon as ready" statements. This uncertainty, alongside early work on an ambitious Gemini 4 pre-training run, underscores the market's emphasis on historical slippage patterns in Google's frontier releases.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 17, 2026, 7:32 PM ET
Volume
$39,845Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 1, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 17, 2026, 7:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's ongoing delays with the Gemini 3.5 Pro flagship model, teased at I/O in May 2026 with a June target that slipped repeatedly, represent the main driver of trader sentiment favoring no release by November 1. Persistent internal testing, performance tuning for long-horizon agentic tasks, and incorporation of Flash learnings have kept the Pro variant sidelined while Google ships frequent Flash updates, including 3.8 Flash on September 2. Intense competition from OpenAI and Anthropic models has heightened scrutiny on quality thresholds, with no firm public timeline beyond partner testing and "as soon as ready" statements. This uncertainty, alongside early work on an ambitious Gemini 4 pre-training run, underscores the market's emphasis on historical slippage patterns in Google's frontier releases.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$39,845Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 1, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 17, 2026, 7:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Google's ongoing delays with the Gemini 3.5 Pro flagship model, teased at I/O in May 2026 with a June target that slipped repeatedly, represent the main driver of trader sentiment favoring no release by November 1. Persistent internal testing, performance tuning for long-horizon agentic tasks, and incorporation of Flash learnings have kept the Pro variant sidelined while Google ships frequent Flash updates, including 3.8 Flash on September 2. Intense competition from OpenAI and Anthropic models has heightened scrutiny on quality thresholds, with no firm public timeline beyond partner testing and "as soon as ready" statements. This uncertainty, alongside early work on an ambitious Gemini 4 pre-training run, underscores the market's emphasis on historical slippage patterns in Google's frontier releases.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong