Skip to main content

Para mag-trade sa US, pumunta sa polymarket.us

icon for What will the median home value in the SF Metro area be on September 30?
Ekonomiya·Parcl

What will the median home value in the SF Metro area be on September 30?

icon for What will the median home value in the SF Metro area be on September 30?
Ekonomiya·Parcl

What will the median home value in the SF Metro area be on September 30?

Sep 30

Sep 30

<$1.176M 83%

$1.176M - $1.198M 15.1%

$1.220M - $1.242M <1%

$1.198M - $1.220M <1%

Polymarket

$50,473 Vol.

<$1.176M 83%

$1.176M - $1.198M 15.1%

$1.220M - $1.242M <1%

$1.198M - $1.220M <1%

Polymarket

$50,473 Vol.

<$1.176M

$24,895 Vol.

83%

$1.176M - $1.198M

$14,817 Vol.

15%

$1.198M - $1.220M

$2,306 Vol.

<1%

$1.220M - $1.242M

$2,195 Vol.

<1%

$1.242M - $1.264M

$3,556 Vol.

<1%

$1.264M - $1.284M

$1,293 Vol.

<1%

$1.284M+

$1,411 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/52)**Current Zillow data places the San Francisco metro typical home value at $1,136,810 as of July 2026, up just 1.2% year-over-year and 0.3% month-over-month, keeping it comfortably below the $1.176 million threshold that commands 83% implied probability.** Median sale prices near $1.175 million reflect a seller’s market with homes moving in 17 days and selling 7.5% above list, yet inventory constraints and selective AI-driven demand have not produced the broad acceleration needed to push the index higher before month-end. Recent months show stable-to-modest gains rather than breakout momentum, while broader Bay Area single-family medians in core counties remain elevated but vary widely by segment. With resolution only weeks away, the market-implied odds align with the latest official home-value readings and limited near-term catalysts for a sharp reacceleration.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on September 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/52)This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/52)
Volume
$50,473
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 30, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/52)**Current Zillow data places the San Francisco metro typical home value at $1,136,810 as of July 2026, up just 1.2% year-over-year and 0.3% month-over-month, keeping it comfortably below the $1.176 million threshold that commands 83% implied probability.** Median sale prices near $1.175 million reflect a seller’s market with homes moving in 17 days and selling 7.5% above list, yet inventory constraints and selective AI-driven demand have not produced the broad acceleration needed to push the index higher before month-end. Recent months show stable-to-modest gains rather than breakout momentum, while broader Bay Area single-family medians in core counties remain elevated but vary widely by segment. With resolution only weeks away, the market-implied odds align with the latest official home-value readings and limited near-term catalysts for a sharp reacceleration.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on September 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/52)This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/52)
Volume
$50,473
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 30, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Kaugnay

icon for Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,137,000 and $1,153,000 on September 30?

Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,137,000 and $1,153,000 on September 30?

33%
icon for Will the median home value in Austin Metro be less than $446,000 on September 30?

Will the median home value in Austin Metro be less than $446,000 on September 30?

97%
icon for Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,089,000 and $1,125,000 on September 30?

Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,089,000 and $1,125,000 on September 30?

37%

Mag-ingat sa mga external link.

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "What will the median home value in the SF Metro area be on September 30?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 7 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "<$1.176M" sa 83%, sinusundan ng "$1.176M - $1.198M" sa 15%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 83¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 83% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "What will the median home value in the SF Metro area be on September 30?" ay naka-generate ng $50.5K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Jul 1, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "What will the median home value in the SF Metro area be on September 30?," i-browse ang 7 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "What will the median home value in the SF Metro area be on September 30?" ay "<$1.176M" sa 83%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 83% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "$1.176M - $1.198M" sa 15%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "What will the median home value in the SF Metro area be on September 30?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.