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Politika·Deprec USA Election

VA-09 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for VA-09 Democratic Primary Winner
Politika·Deprec USA Election

VA-09 Democratic Primary Winner

Joy Powers 100.0%

Doug Crockett <1%

Adam Murphy <1%

Polymarket

$36,962 Vol.

Joy Powers 100.0%

Doug Crockett <1%

Adam Murphy <1%

Polymarket

$36,962 Vol.

icon for Doug Crockett

Doug Crockett

$2,229 Vol.

No

icon for Adam Murphy

Adam Murphy

$9,226 Vol.

No

icon for Joy Powers

Joy Powers

$25,507 Vol.

Yes

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Joy Powers secured the Democratic nomination for Virginia's 9th Congressional District in the August 4, 2026 primary, facing limited opposition from Adam Murphy and Douglas Crockett in a low-turnout contest. Her strong positioning stems from established local roots as a fourth-generation farmer and small business owner in rural Southwest Virginia, combined with party organizational support and early fundraising advantages that deterred stronger challengers. Recent campaign activity and endorsements from district Democratic groups reinforced this lead ahead of voting. With the primary concluded and results showing a decisive margin, trader consensus reflects near-certainty of her nomination. Late vote tabulation discrepancies or successful legal challenges to ballot eligibility could theoretically alter the outcome, though such scenarios remain unlikely given the reported projections.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$36,962
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 4, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jul 9, 2026, 9:54 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Na-propose ang outcome: No

Walang dispute

Pinal na outcome: No

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Joy Powers secured the Democratic nomination for Virginia's 9th Congressional District in the August 4, 2026 primary, facing limited opposition from Adam Murphy and Douglas Crockett in a low-turnout contest. Her strong positioning stems from established local roots as a fourth-generation farmer and small business owner in rural Southwest Virginia, combined with party organizational support and early fundraising advantages that deterred stronger challengers. Recent campaign activity and endorsements from district Democratic groups reinforced this lead ahead of voting. With the primary concluded and results showing a decisive margin, trader consensus reflects near-certainty of her nomination. Late vote tabulation discrepancies or successful legal challenges to ballot eligibility could theoretically alter the outcome, though such scenarios remain unlikely given the reported projections.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$36,962
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 4, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jul 9, 2026, 9:54 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Na-propose ang outcome: No

Walang dispute

Pinal na outcome: No

Kaugnay

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82%
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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "VA-09 Democratic Primary Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 3 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Joy Powers" sa 100%, sinusundan ng "Doug Crockett" sa 0%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 100¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 100% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "VA-09 Democratic Primary Winner" ay naka-generate ng $37K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Jul 9, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "VA-09 Democratic Primary Winner," i-browse ang 3 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "VA-09 Democratic Primary Winner" ay "Joy Powers" sa 100%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 100% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Doug Crockett" sa 0%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "VA-09 Democratic Primary Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.