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Politika·Mga Pangunahing Kaalaman

VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner
Politika·Mga Pangunahing Kaalaman

VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner

Elaine Luria 85%

Burk Stringfellow 4.5%

James Osyf 4.3%

Matt Strickler 3.9%

Polymarket
BAGO

Elaine Luria 85%

Burk Stringfellow 4.5%

James Osyf 4.3%

Matt Strickler 3.9%

Polymarket
BAGO

Elaine Luria

$1,330 Vol.

85%

Burk Stringfellow

$616 Vol.

4%

James Osyf

$1,112 Vol.

4%

Matt Strickler

$594 Vol.

4%

Patrick Mosolf

$1,514 Vol.

2%

Nila Devanath

$878 Vol.

1%

Nicolaus Sleister

$1,035 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former Rep. Elaine Luria's dominant Q1 2026 fundraising—$1.75 million raised and $2 million cash-on-hand—announced early April, alongside DCCC Red to Blue program inclusion, has solidified trader consensus at 85.5% implied probability for the VA-02 Democratic primary on August 4. Her prior incumbency, Navy veteran status, and Hampton Roads ties give her a clear edge in the crowded field targeting a flip of Republican Rep. Jen Kiggans' seat. James Osyf follows at 9.9% with $411,000 raised and national security experience, despite a prior campaign suspension. Matt Strickler's dropout last week likely accelerated consolidation behind Luria, while lower-profile challengers like Burk Stringfellow trail amid absent primary polls.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 16, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$7,079
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 16, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Nov 25, 2025, 4:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former Rep. Elaine Luria's dominant Q1 2026 fundraising—$1.75 million raised and $2 million cash-on-hand—announced early April, alongside DCCC Red to Blue program inclusion, has solidified trader consensus at 85.5% implied probability for the VA-02 Democratic primary on August 4. Her prior incumbency, Navy veteran status, and Hampton Roads ties give her a clear edge in the crowded field targeting a flip of Republican Rep. Jen Kiggans' seat. James Osyf follows at 9.9% with $411,000 raised and national security experience, despite a prior campaign suspension. Matt Strickler's dropout last week likely accelerated consolidation behind Luria, while lower-profile challengers like Burk Stringfellow trail amid absent primary polls.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 16, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$7,079
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 16, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Nov 25, 2025, 4:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 7 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Elaine Luria" sa 85%, sinusundan ng "Burk Stringfellow" sa 4%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 85¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 85% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Nov 25, 2025. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner," i-browse ang 7 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner" ay "Elaine Luria" sa 85%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 85% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Burk Stringfellow" sa 4%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.