The revocation of the U.S. Treasury’s General License X on July 7, 2026—following tanker attacks in the Strait of Hormuz—shifted trader focus toward the likelihood and timing of any reissuance of Iranian oil sanctions relief, with oil prices rising nearly 6% as supply expectations tightened. The original 60-day waiver, issued June 22 to support interim U.S.-Iran talks on nuclear inspections and Hormuz access, had briefly allowed dollar-denominated sales and vessel transactions through August 21 before its supersession and July 17 wind-down. Current market-implied odds reflect uncertainty over whether renewed diplomatic momentum or Iranian compliance could prompt another OFAC general license, weighed against the Trump administration’s sanctions-first stance and broader energy-market volatility. Key upcoming catalysts include any extension of the June memorandum of understanding, fresh economic data on global crude inventories, and Treasury communications on secondary sanctions enforcement, all of which directly influence the cost of capital and trading volumes in energy derivatives.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update$145,533 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
August 31
64%
$145,533 Vol.
August 31
$56,651 Vol.
64%
On July 7, 2026, the United States revoked a sanctions waiver, “General License X,” which allowed for the sale of Iranian oil (see: https://thehill.com/policy/energy-environment/5957647-iran-oil-sanctions-waiver-strait-of-hormuz/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government issues a waiver, license, or equivalent sanctions-relief mechanism lifting US sanctions on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
Actions which direct partial or full sanction relief will both qualify. However, qualifying actions must reverse, remove, waive, or suspend US penalties on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products, in whole or in part.
Qualifying actions need not be permanent; temporary suspensions of sanctions will qualify. Relief issued for either primary or secondary sanctions will qualify. A re-issuance of the initial waiver will qualify. The full removal of any sanction on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products will also qualify.
Continued sales of Iranian oil allowed during the wind-down period under this revocation order will not qualify. Mere extensions of the wind-down period, without issuance of a new qualifying sanctions-relief action, will not qualify.
Once a qualifying sanctions relief action has been taken, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent revocation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government.The revocation of the U.S. Treasury’s General License X on July 7, 2026—following tanker attacks in the Strait of Hormuz—shifted trader focus toward the likelihood and timing of any reissuance of Iranian oil sanctions relief, with oil prices rising nearly 6% as supply expectations tightened. The original 60-day waiver, issued June 22 to support interim U.S.-Iran talks on nuclear inspections and Hormuz access, had briefly allowed dollar-denominated sales and vessel transactions through August 21 before its supersession and July 17 wind-down. Current market-implied odds reflect uncertainty over whether renewed diplomatic momentum or Iranian compliance could prompt another OFAC general license, weighed against the Trump administration’s sanctions-first stance and broader energy-market volatility. Key upcoming catalysts include any extension of the June memorandum of understanding, fresh economic data on global crude inventories, and Treasury communications on secondary sanctions enforcement, all of which directly influence the cost of capital and trading volumes in energy derivatives.
On July 7, 2026, the United States revoked a sanctions waiver, “General License X,” which allowed for the sale of Iranian oil (see: https://thehill.com/policy/energy-environment/5957647-iran-oil-sanctions-waiver-strait-of-hormuz/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government issues a waiver, license, or equivalent sanctions-relief mechanism lifting US sanctions on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
Actions which direct partial or full sanction relief will both qualify. However, qualifying actions must reverse, remove, waive, or suspend US penalties on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products, in whole or in part.
Qualifying actions need not be permanent; temporary suspensions of sanctions will qualify. Relief issued for either primary or secondary sanctions will qualify. A re-issuance of the initial waiver will qualify. The full removal of any sanction on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products will also qualify.
Continued sales of Iranian oil allowed during the wind-down period under this revocation order will not qualify. Mere extensions of the wind-down period, without issuance of a new qualifying sanctions-relief action, will not qualify.
Once a qualifying sanctions relief action has been taken, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent revocation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government issues a waiver, license, or equivalent sanctions-relief mechanism lifting US sanctions on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
Actions which direct partial or full sanction relief will both qualify. However, qualifying actions must reverse, remove, waive, or suspend US penalties on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products, in whole or in part.
Qualifying actions need not be permanent; temporary suspensions of sanctions will qualify. Relief issued for either primary or secondary sanctions will qualify. A re-issuance of the initial waiver will qualify. The full removal of any sanction on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products will also qualify.
Continued sales of Iranian oil allowed during the wind-down period under this revocation order will not qualify. Mere extensions of the wind-down period, without issuance of a new qualifying sanctions-relief action, will not qualify.
Once a qualifying sanctions relief action has been taken, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent revocation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government.
Binuksan ang Market: Jul 8, 2026, 2:35 PM ET
Volume
$145,533Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jul 8, 2026, 2:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...On July 7, 2026, the United States revoked a sanctions waiver, “General License X,” which allowed for the sale of Iranian oil (see: https://thehill.com/policy/energy-environment/5957647-iran-oil-sanctions-waiver-strait-of-hormuz/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government issues a waiver, license, or equivalent sanctions-relief mechanism lifting US sanctions on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
Actions which direct partial or full sanction relief will both qualify. However, qualifying actions must reverse, remove, waive, or suspend US penalties on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products, in whole or in part.
Qualifying actions need not be permanent; temporary suspensions of sanctions will qualify. Relief issued for either primary or secondary sanctions will qualify. A re-issuance of the initial waiver will qualify. The full removal of any sanction on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products will also qualify.
Continued sales of Iranian oil allowed during the wind-down period under this revocation order will not qualify. Mere extensions of the wind-down period, without issuance of a new qualifying sanctions-relief action, will not qualify.
Once a qualifying sanctions relief action has been taken, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent revocation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government.The revocation of the U.S. Treasury’s General License X on July 7, 2026—following tanker attacks in the Strait of Hormuz—shifted trader focus toward the likelihood and timing of any reissuance of Iranian oil sanctions relief, with oil prices rising nearly 6% as supply expectations tightened. The original 60-day waiver, issued June 22 to support interim U.S.-Iran talks on nuclear inspections and Hormuz access, had briefly allowed dollar-denominated sales and vessel transactions through August 21 before its supersession and July 17 wind-down. Current market-implied odds reflect uncertainty over whether renewed diplomatic momentum or Iranian compliance could prompt another OFAC general license, weighed against the Trump administration’s sanctions-first stance and broader energy-market volatility. Key upcoming catalysts include any extension of the June memorandum of understanding, fresh economic data on global crude inventories, and Treasury communications on secondary sanctions enforcement, all of which directly influence the cost of capital and trading volumes in energy derivatives.
On July 7, 2026, the United States revoked a sanctions waiver, “General License X,” which allowed for the sale of Iranian oil (see: https://thehill.com/policy/energy-environment/5957647-iran-oil-sanctions-waiver-strait-of-hormuz/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government issues a waiver, license, or equivalent sanctions-relief mechanism lifting US sanctions on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
Actions which direct partial or full sanction relief will both qualify. However, qualifying actions must reverse, remove, waive, or suspend US penalties on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products, in whole or in part.
Qualifying actions need not be permanent; temporary suspensions of sanctions will qualify. Relief issued for either primary or secondary sanctions will qualify. A re-issuance of the initial waiver will qualify. The full removal of any sanction on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products will also qualify.
Continued sales of Iranian oil allowed during the wind-down period under this revocation order will not qualify. Mere extensions of the wind-down period, without issuance of a new qualifying sanctions-relief action, will not qualify.
Once a qualifying sanctions relief action has been taken, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent revocation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government issues a waiver, license, or equivalent sanctions-relief mechanism lifting US sanctions on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
Actions which direct partial or full sanction relief will both qualify. However, qualifying actions must reverse, remove, waive, or suspend US penalties on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products, in whole or in part.
Qualifying actions need not be permanent; temporary suspensions of sanctions will qualify. Relief issued for either primary or secondary sanctions will qualify. A re-issuance of the initial waiver will qualify. The full removal of any sanction on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products will also qualify.
Continued sales of Iranian oil allowed during the wind-down period under this revocation order will not qualify. Mere extensions of the wind-down period, without issuance of a new qualifying sanctions-relief action, will not qualify.
Once a qualifying sanctions relief action has been taken, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent revocation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government.
Volume
$145,533Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jul 8, 2026, 2:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The revocation of the U.S. Treasury’s General License X on July 7, 2026—following tanker attacks in the Strait of Hormuz—shifted trader focus toward the likelihood and timing of any reissuance of Iranian oil sanctions relief, with oil prices rising nearly 6% as supply expectations tightened. The original 60-day waiver, issued June 22 to support interim U.S.-Iran talks on nuclear inspections and Hormuz access, had briefly allowed dollar-denominated sales and vessel transactions through August 21 before its supersession and July 17 wind-down. Current market-implied odds reflect uncertainty over whether renewed diplomatic momentum or Iranian compliance could prompt another OFAC general license, weighed against the Trump administration’s sanctions-first stance and broader energy-market volatility. Key upcoming catalysts include any extension of the June memorandum of understanding, fresh economic data on global crude inventories, and Treasury communications on secondary sanctions enforcement, all of which directly influence the cost of capital and trading volumes in energy derivatives.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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