Ukraine's security services have reported no verified coup plots since foiling a pro-Russian scheme in 2024, leaving traders to assign an 8% implied probability to any attempt by December 31, 2026. Unified military command, ongoing Western security assistance, and the absence of major internal fractures or public mobilization against the Zelenskyy government have kept risks contained. A July 2026 leadership transition installing a new commander-in-chief amid protests over defense policy reflected wartime adjustments rather than instability. Scheduled parliamentary or electoral processes remain distant, and no diplomatic or battlefield developments in recent weeks have introduced catalysts for sudden power struggles. Market pricing reflects this baseline stability while allowing for low-probability tail risks from prolonged conflict fatigue.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateUkraine coup attempt by...?
Ukraine coup attempt by...?
$124,514 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
December 31
9%
$124,514 Vol.
December 31
$106,678 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Ukraine's security services have reported no verified coup plots since foiling a pro-Russian scheme in 2024, leaving traders to assign an 8% implied probability to any attempt by December 31, 2026. Unified military command, ongoing Western security assistance, and the absence of major internal fractures or public mobilization against the Zelenskyy government have kept risks contained. A July 2026 leadership transition installing a new commander-in-chief amid protests over defense policy reflected wartime adjustments rather than instability. Scheduled parliamentary or electoral processes remain distant, and no diplomatic or battlefield developments in recent weeks have introduced catalysts for sudden power struggles. Market pricing reflects this baseline stability while allowing for low-probability tail risks from prolonged conflict fatigue.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Binuksan ang Market: Jun 24, 2026, 8:28 PM ET
Volume
$124,514Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jun 24, 2026, 8:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Ukraine's security services have reported no verified coup plots since foiling a pro-Russian scheme in 2024, leaving traders to assign an 8% implied probability to any attempt by December 31, 2026. Unified military command, ongoing Western security assistance, and the absence of major internal fractures or public mobilization against the Zelenskyy government have kept risks contained. A July 2026 leadership transition installing a new commander-in-chief amid protests over defense policy reflected wartime adjustments rather than instability. Scheduled parliamentary or electoral processes remain distant, and no diplomatic or battlefield developments in recent weeks have introduced catalysts for sudden power struggles. Market pricing reflects this baseline stability while allowing for low-probability tail risks from prolonged conflict fatigue.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$124,514Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jun 24, 2026, 8:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ukraine's security services have reported no verified coup plots since foiling a pro-Russian scheme in 2024, leaving traders to assign an 8% implied probability to any attempt by December 31, 2026. Unified military command, ongoing Western security assistance, and the absence of major internal fractures or public mobilization against the Zelenskyy government have kept risks contained. A July 2026 leadership transition installing a new commander-in-chief amid protests over defense policy reflected wartime adjustments rather than instability. Scheduled parliamentary or electoral processes remain distant, and no diplomatic or battlefield developments in recent weeks have introduced catalysts for sudden power struggles. Market pricing reflects this baseline stability while allowing for low-probability tail risks from prolonged conflict fatigue.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong