Ongoing martial law in Ukraine prohibits national referendums and elections until lifted, while any vote on territorial concessions or a peace framework requires a sustained ceasefire, security guarantees, and logistical arrangements for displaced voters under the all-Ukrainian referendum law and constitution. Early 2026 U.S.-mediated trilateral talks in Geneva explored linking a deal to simultaneous presidential elections and a referendum, potentially in May, but unresolved disputes over territory in Donbas, Zaporizhzhia, and Crimea, combined with Russian and Ukrainian skepticism, left negotiations stalled through mid-year. Civil society groups have challenged the referendum approach as inconsistent with existing legal procedures, and no breakthrough has occurred despite intermittent diplomatic efforts. Trader assessments reflect these structural and diplomatic hurdles, with momentum hinging on future battlefield shifts, U.S. policy continuity, or renewed ceasefire talks that could enable scheduling within the resolution window.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateUkraine peace referendum scheduled by...?
$525,091 Vol.
September 30
3%
December 31
9%
$525,091 Vol.
September 30
3%
December 31
9%
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be scheduled once a date for the referendum to take place has been officially scheduled and publicly announced by a relevant Ukrainian government authority with the legal jurisdiction to do so.
Once a qualifying referendum has been scheduled, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Apr 8, 2026, 7:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be scheduled once a date for the referendum to take place has been officially scheduled and publicly announced by a relevant Ukrainian government authority with the legal jurisdiction to do so.
Once a qualifying referendum has been scheduled, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing martial law in Ukraine prohibits national referendums and elections until lifted, while any vote on territorial concessions or a peace framework requires a sustained ceasefire, security guarantees, and logistical arrangements for displaced voters under the all-Ukrainian referendum law and constitution. Early 2026 U.S.-mediated trilateral talks in Geneva explored linking a deal to simultaneous presidential elections and a referendum, potentially in May, but unresolved disputes over territory in Donbas, Zaporizhzhia, and Crimea, combined with Russian and Ukrainian skepticism, left negotiations stalled through mid-year. Civil society groups have challenged the referendum approach as inconsistent with existing legal procedures, and no breakthrough has occurred despite intermittent diplomatic efforts. Trader assessments reflect these structural and diplomatic hurdles, with momentum hinging on future battlefield shifts, U.S. policy continuity, or renewed ceasefire talks that could enable scheduling within the resolution window.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update


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