Skip to main content
icon for TX-38 Republican Primary Winner
Halalan·Mga Pangunahing Kaalaman

TX-38 Republican Primary Winner

icon for TX-38 Republican Primary Winner
Halalan·Mga Pangunahing Kaalaman

TX-38 Republican Primary Winner

Jon Bonck 94.4%

Barrett McNabb 3.9%

Shelly deZevallos 3.1%

Larry Rubin 2.9%

Polymarket

$38,870 Vol.

Jon Bonck 94.4%

Barrett McNabb 3.9%

Shelly deZevallos 3.1%

Larry Rubin 2.9%

Polymarket

$38,870 Vol.

Jon Bonck

$18,040 Vol.

94%

Barrett McNabb

$1,688 Vol.

4%

Shelly deZevallos

$3,299 Vol.

3%

Larry Rubin

$2,255 Vol.

3%

Jennifer Sundt

$2,476 Vol.

1%

Craig Goralski

$1,660 Vol.

1%

Avery Ayers

$2,470 Vol.

1%

Carmen Montiel

$1,583 Vol.

1%

Michael Pratt

$2,840 Vol.

1%

Jeff Yuna

$2,557 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Jon Bonck's commanding 94% trader consensus in the TX-38 Republican primary stems from his strong plurality victory atop a crowded 10-candidate field in the March 3 first round, advancing him to the May 26 runoff against Shelly deZevallos in this open seat vacated by Rep. Wesley Hunt's U.S. Senate bid. Recent high-profile endorsements, including from President Trump on May 7 and local precinct chairs, alongside grassroots momentum in the conservative Houston-area district, have solidified his frontrunner status ahead of early voting starting May 18. Realistic challenges include a late deZevallos surge via consolidated anti-Bonck support, unexpectedly low turnout among his base, or an unforeseen scandal, though historical runoff patterns favor the first-round leader in Texas GOP primaries.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$38,870
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 26, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Feb 6, 2026, 6:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Jon Bonck's commanding 94% trader consensus in the TX-38 Republican primary stems from his strong plurality victory atop a crowded 10-candidate field in the March 3 first round, advancing him to the May 26 runoff against Shelly deZevallos in this open seat vacated by Rep. Wesley Hunt's U.S. Senate bid. Recent high-profile endorsements, including from President Trump on May 7 and local precinct chairs, alongside grassroots momentum in the conservative Houston-area district, have solidified his frontrunner status ahead of early voting starting May 18. Realistic challenges include a late deZevallos surge via consolidated anti-Bonck support, unexpectedly low turnout among his base, or an unforeseen scandal, though historical runoff patterns favor the first-round leader in Texas GOP primaries.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$38,870
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 26, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Feb 6, 2026, 6:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Mag-ingat sa mga external link.

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "TX-38 Republican Primary Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 10 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Jon Bonck" sa 94%, sinusundan ng "Barrett McNabb" sa 4%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 94¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 94% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "TX-38 Republican Primary Winner" ay naka-generate ng $38.9K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Feb 6, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "TX-38 Republican Primary Winner," i-browse ang 10 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "TX-38 Republican Primary Winner" ay "Jon Bonck" sa 94%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 94% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Barrett McNabb" sa 4%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "TX-38 Republican Primary Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.