The Texas 11th Congressional District’s strong Republican lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+17 and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, underpins the 91.5 percent trader consensus for the Republican nominee. Incumbent August Pfluger advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Republican primary, preserving full party resources for the general election. Democratic nominee Claire Reynolds, who prevailed in her primary, confronts a district where Republican presidential performance has exceeded the national average by more than twenty points. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Only an unusually large national political shift, a significant personal or legal development involving the incumbent, or unusually high Democratic turnout in this rural and energy-producing region could materially alter the current implied probability before the November 3 general election.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateTX-11 House Election Winner
TX-11 House Election Winner
$23,602 Vol.
$23,602 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
92%
Democratic Party
7%
$23,602 Vol.
$23,602 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$5,849 Vol.
92%
Democratic Party
$17,752 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Texas 11th Congressional District’s strong Republican lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+17 and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, underpins the 91.5 percent trader consensus for the Republican nominee. Incumbent August Pfluger advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Republican primary, preserving full party resources for the general election. Democratic nominee Claire Reynolds, who prevailed in her primary, confronts a district where Republican presidential performance has exceeded the national average by more than twenty points. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Only an unusually large national political shift, a significant personal or legal development involving the incumbent, or unusually high Democratic turnout in this rural and energy-producing region could materially alter the current implied probability before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Binuksan ang Market: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$23,602Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Texas 11th Congressional District’s strong Republican lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+17 and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, underpins the 91.5 percent trader consensus for the Republican nominee. Incumbent August Pfluger advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Republican primary, preserving full party resources for the general election. Democratic nominee Claire Reynolds, who prevailed in her primary, confronts a district where Republican presidential performance has exceeded the national average by more than twenty points. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Only an unusually large national political shift, a significant personal or legal development involving the incumbent, or unusually high Democratic turnout in this rural and energy-producing region could materially alter the current implied probability before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$23,602Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Texas 11th Congressional District’s strong Republican lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+17 and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, underpins the 91.5 percent trader consensus for the Republican nominee. Incumbent August Pfluger advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Republican primary, preserving full party resources for the general election. Democratic nominee Claire Reynolds, who prevailed in her primary, confronts a district where Republican presidential performance has exceeded the national average by more than twenty points. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Only an unusually large national political shift, a significant personal or legal development involving the incumbent, or unusually high Democratic turnout in this rural and energy-producing region could materially alter the current implied probability before the November 3 general election.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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