**US-Turkey talks on Turkey’s potential return to the F-35 program center on resolving Ankara’s possession of Russia’s S-400 air-defense system, the core legal and security barrier that led to its 2019 removal.** President Trump’s July 2026 statements during the NATO summit in Ankara signaled openness to lifting related CAATSA sanctions and considering F-35 sales or program readmission, contingent on addressing the S-400 issue through transparent means such as transfer or disposal. The State Department has confirmed Turkey does not yet meet certification requirements under the 2020 NDAA, which mandates no S-400 equipment or personnel and binding assurances against reacquisition. Congressional pushback, including from Greek-American advocates and concerns over regional balances involving Greece and Israel, adds procedural hurdles. Turkey continues developing its indigenous KAAN fighter while pursuing diplomatic channels, with any near-term progress likely tied to verifiable S-400 resolutions or executive-legislative alignment before year-end deadlines.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update$28,842 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
December 31, 2026
11%
June 30, 2027
36%
$28,842 Vol.
December 31, 2026
$28,357 Vol.
11%
June 30, 2027
$485 Vol.
36%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Turkey becomes formally included in the F-35 program between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Turkey will be considered formally included in the F-35 program if any of the following occur:
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Partner;
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Foreign Military Sales Customer; or
- the United States federal government officially announces that Turkey has signed or accepted a Foreign Military Sales Letter (FMS) of Offer and Acceptance (LOA) for F-35 aircraft or F-35 components.
Statements of intent, negotiations, sanctions relief, waiver or certification of legal restrictions, congressional notification, or general announcements that the United States supports or is considering an F-35 sale to Turkey will not qualify unless one of the above conditions is met.
Once a qualifying action has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent reversal, suspension, or cancellation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the F-35 Joint Program Office and the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be considered.**US-Turkey talks on Turkey’s potential return to the F-35 program center on resolving Ankara’s possession of Russia’s S-400 air-defense system, the core legal and security barrier that led to its 2019 removal.** President Trump’s July 2026 statements during the NATO summit in Ankara signaled openness to lifting related CAATSA sanctions and considering F-35 sales or program readmission, contingent on addressing the S-400 issue through transparent means such as transfer or disposal. The State Department has confirmed Turkey does not yet meet certification requirements under the 2020 NDAA, which mandates no S-400 equipment or personnel and binding assurances against reacquisition. Congressional pushback, including from Greek-American advocates and concerns over regional balances involving Greece and Israel, adds procedural hurdles. Turkey continues developing its indigenous KAAN fighter while pursuing diplomatic channels, with any near-term progress likely tied to verifiable S-400 resolutions or executive-legislative alignment before year-end deadlines.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Turkey becomes formally included in the F-35 program between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Turkey will be considered formally included in the F-35 program if any of the following occur:
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Partner;
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Foreign Military Sales Customer; or
- the United States federal government officially announces that Turkey has signed or accepted a Foreign Military Sales Letter (FMS) of Offer and Acceptance (LOA) for F-35 aircraft or F-35 components.
Statements of intent, negotiations, sanctions relief, waiver or certification of legal restrictions, congressional notification, or general announcements that the United States supports or is considering an F-35 sale to Turkey will not qualify unless one of the above conditions is met.
Once a qualifying action has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent reversal, suspension, or cancellation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the F-35 Joint Program Office and the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be considered.
Turkey will be considered formally included in the F-35 program if any of the following occur:
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Partner;
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Foreign Military Sales Customer; or
- the United States federal government officially announces that Turkey has signed or accepted a Foreign Military Sales Letter (FMS) of Offer and Acceptance (LOA) for F-35 aircraft or F-35 components.
Statements of intent, negotiations, sanctions relief, waiver or certification of legal restrictions, congressional notification, or general announcements that the United States supports or is considering an F-35 sale to Turkey will not qualify unless one of the above conditions is met.
Once a qualifying action has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent reversal, suspension, or cancellation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the F-35 Joint Program Office and the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Jul 14, 2026, 10:15 AM ET
Volume
$28,842Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 30, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Jul 14, 2026, 10:15 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Turkey becomes formally included in the F-35 program between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Turkey will be considered formally included in the F-35 program if any of the following occur:
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Partner;
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Foreign Military Sales Customer; or
- the United States federal government officially announces that Turkey has signed or accepted a Foreign Military Sales Letter (FMS) of Offer and Acceptance (LOA) for F-35 aircraft or F-35 components.
Statements of intent, negotiations, sanctions relief, waiver or certification of legal restrictions, congressional notification, or general announcements that the United States supports or is considering an F-35 sale to Turkey will not qualify unless one of the above conditions is met.
Once a qualifying action has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent reversal, suspension, or cancellation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the F-35 Joint Program Office and the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be considered.**US-Turkey talks on Turkey’s potential return to the F-35 program center on resolving Ankara’s possession of Russia’s S-400 air-defense system, the core legal and security barrier that led to its 2019 removal.** President Trump’s July 2026 statements during the NATO summit in Ankara signaled openness to lifting related CAATSA sanctions and considering F-35 sales or program readmission, contingent on addressing the S-400 issue through transparent means such as transfer or disposal. The State Department has confirmed Turkey does not yet meet certification requirements under the 2020 NDAA, which mandates no S-400 equipment or personnel and binding assurances against reacquisition. Congressional pushback, including from Greek-American advocates and concerns over regional balances involving Greece and Israel, adds procedural hurdles. Turkey continues developing its indigenous KAAN fighter while pursuing diplomatic channels, with any near-term progress likely tied to verifiable S-400 resolutions or executive-legislative alignment before year-end deadlines.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Turkey becomes formally included in the F-35 program between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Turkey will be considered formally included in the F-35 program if any of the following occur:
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Partner;
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Foreign Military Sales Customer; or
- the United States federal government officially announces that Turkey has signed or accepted a Foreign Military Sales Letter (FMS) of Offer and Acceptance (LOA) for F-35 aircraft or F-35 components.
Statements of intent, negotiations, sanctions relief, waiver or certification of legal restrictions, congressional notification, or general announcements that the United States supports or is considering an F-35 sale to Turkey will not qualify unless one of the above conditions is met.
Once a qualifying action has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent reversal, suspension, or cancellation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the F-35 Joint Program Office and the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be considered.
Turkey will be considered formally included in the F-35 program if any of the following occur:
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Partner;
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Foreign Military Sales Customer; or
- the United States federal government officially announces that Turkey has signed or accepted a Foreign Military Sales Letter (FMS) of Offer and Acceptance (LOA) for F-35 aircraft or F-35 components.
Statements of intent, negotiations, sanctions relief, waiver or certification of legal restrictions, congressional notification, or general announcements that the United States supports or is considering an F-35 sale to Turkey will not qualify unless one of the above conditions is met.
Once a qualifying action has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent reversal, suspension, or cancellation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the F-35 Joint Program Office and the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be considered.
Volume
$28,842Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 30, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Jul 14, 2026, 10:15 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**US-Turkey talks on Turkey’s potential return to the F-35 program center on resolving Ankara’s possession of Russia’s S-400 air-defense system, the core legal and security barrier that led to its 2019 removal.** President Trump’s July 2026 statements during the NATO summit in Ankara signaled openness to lifting related CAATSA sanctions and considering F-35 sales or program readmission, contingent on addressing the S-400 issue through transparent means such as transfer or disposal. The State Department has confirmed Turkey does not yet meet certification requirements under the 2020 NDAA, which mandates no S-400 equipment or personnel and binding assurances against reacquisition. Congressional pushback, including from Greek-American advocates and concerns over regional balances involving Greece and Israel, adds procedural hurdles. Turkey continues developing its indigenous KAAN fighter while pursuing diplomatic channels, with any near-term progress likely tied to verifiable S-400 resolutions or executive-legislative alignment before year-end deadlines.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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