Google holds a narrow edge in trader-implied odds for third place on the Text Arena Math leaderboard by end of October, with Z.ai close behind, while OpenAI, Alibaba and others trail significantly. Anthropic’s Claude family currently dominates the category with multiple models above 1525 Elo, reflecting superior chain-of-thought reasoning on competition-style problems. Google’s Gemini 3.7 Flash variants sit immediately behind at roughly 1524, supported by recent multi-agent frameworks that delivered verified solutions to open math and theoretical computer science problems. Z.ai’s GLM-5.3 series remains competitive through strong open-weight performance and rapid iteration, keeping its third-place prospects viable. With only weeks remaining, any new model releases or capability jumps from Google or Z.ai could shift the narrow gap, though historical release cycles suggest limited movement before the resolution window.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateThird-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
Google 45%
Z.ai 37.7%
OpenAI 10%
Alibaba 8%
$38,648 Vol.
$38,648 Vol.

45%

Z.ai
38%

OpenAI
10%

Alibaba
8%

Moonshot
2%

Meituan
1%

Anthropic
1%

Baidu
1%

Nvidia
1%

Meta
1%

SpaceXAI
<1%

Xiaomi
<1%

DeepSeek
<1%

Tencent
<1%

Bytedance
<1%

MiniMax
<1%

Amazon
<1%

Mistral
<1%

StepFun
<1%

Microsoft
<1%
Google 45%
Z.ai 37.7%
OpenAI 10%
Alibaba 8%
$38,648 Vol.
$38,648 Vol.

45%

Z.ai
38%

OpenAI
10%

Alibaba
8%

Moonshot
2%

Meituan
1%

Anthropic
1%

Baidu
1%

Nvidia
1%

Meta
1%

SpaceXAI
<1%

Xiaomi
<1%

DeepSeek
<1%

Tencent
<1%

Bytedance
<1%

MiniMax
<1%

Amazon
<1%

Mistral
<1%

StepFun
<1%

Microsoft
<1%
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 12, 2026, 7:54 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Google holds a narrow edge in trader-implied odds for third place on the Text Arena Math leaderboard by end of October, with Z.ai close behind, while OpenAI, Alibaba and others trail significantly. Anthropic’s Claude family currently dominates the category with multiple models above 1525 Elo, reflecting superior chain-of-thought reasoning on competition-style problems. Google’s Gemini 3.7 Flash variants sit immediately behind at roughly 1524, supported by recent multi-agent frameworks that delivered verified solutions to open math and theoretical computer science problems. Z.ai’s GLM-5.3 series remains competitive through strong open-weight performance and rapid iteration, keeping its third-place prospects viable. With only weeks remaining, any new model releases or capability jumps from Google or Z.ai could shift the narrow gap, though historical release cycles suggest limited movement before the resolution window.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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