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Pananalapi·Negosyo

The First Modulithic Debate

icon for The First Modulithic Debate
Pananalapi·Negosyo

The First Modulithic Debate

$14,636 Vol.

Feb 29, 2024
Polymarket

$14,636 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Hoffman: “Fundamentals” in first 5 minutes

Hoffman: “Fundamentals” in first 5 minutes

$7,456 Vol.

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icon for Demirors: "inflows" 5 or more times

Demirors: "inflows" 5 or more times

$4,413 Vol.

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icon for White: "modular" 10 or more times

White: "modular" 10 or more times

$2,768 Vol.

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This market will resolve to "Yes" if David Hoffman says the word "fundamentals" in the first 5 minutes of ‘The First Modulithic Debate’ scheduled for Thursday, February 29. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The debate will be considered to have begun once any of the three moderators; David Hoffman, Mike Ippolito, or Meltem Demirors begin speaking to introduce the debate panel or ask a question directed at a member of the panel. Pluralization/possessive/different tenses of the word (e.g. fundamentally) will NOT count toward the resolution of this market - mere references will not count. The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript (if provided) and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered. If this event is canceled or delayed beyond Thursday, February 29, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve to "Yes” if Meltmen Demirors says the word "inflows" at least 5 times during ‘The First Modulithic Debate’ scheduled for Thursday, February 29. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Pluralization/possessive/different tenses of the word (e.g. inflow) of the word WILL count toward the resolution of this market - mere references will not count. The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript (if provided) and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered. If this event is canceled or delayed beyond Thursday, February 29, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes” if Nick White says the word "modular" at least 10 times during ‘The First Modulithic Debate’ scheduled for Thursday, February 29. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Pluralization/possessive/different tenses of the word (e.g. modularity) of the word WILL count toward the resolution of this market - mere references will not count. The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript (if provided) and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered. If this event is canceled or delayed beyond Thursday, February 29, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve to "Yes" if David Hoffman says the word "fundamentals" in the first 5 minutes of ‘The First Modulithic Debate’ scheduled for Thursday, February 29. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

The debate will be considered to have begun once any of the three moderators; David Hoffman, Mike Ippolito, or Meltem Demirors begin speaking to introduce the debate panel or ask a question directed at a member of the panel. Pluralization/possessive/different tenses of the word (e.g. fundamentally) will NOT count toward the resolution of this market - mere references will not count.

The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript (if provided) and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered.
If this event is canceled or delayed beyond Thursday, February 29, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Volume
$14,636
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Feb 29, 2024
Binuksan ang Market
Feb 26, 2024, 7:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if David Hoffman says the word "fundamentals" in the first 5 minutes of ‘The First Modulithic Debate’ scheduled for Thursday, February 29. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The debate will be considered to have begun once any of the three moderators; David Hoffman, Mike Ippolito, or Meltem Demirors begin speaking to introduce the debate panel or ask a question directed at a member of the panel. Pluralization/possessive/different tenses of the word (e.g. fundamentally) will NOT count toward the resolution of this market - mere references will not count. The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript (if provided) and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered. If this event is canceled or delayed beyond Thursday, February 29, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Na-propose ang outcome: Yes 0.50, No 0.50

Walang dispute

Pinal na outcome: Yes 0.50, No 0.50

This market will resolve to "Yes" if David Hoffman says the word "fundamentals" in the first 5 minutes of ‘The First Modulithic Debate’ scheduled for Thursday, February 29. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The debate will be considered to have begun once any of the three moderators; David Hoffman, Mike Ippolito, or Meltem Demirors begin speaking to introduce the debate panel or ask a question directed at a member of the panel. Pluralization/possessive/different tenses of the word (e.g. fundamentally) will NOT count toward the resolution of this market - mere references will not count. The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript (if provided) and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered. If this event is canceled or delayed beyond Thursday, February 29, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve to "Yes” if Meltmen Demirors says the word "inflows" at least 5 times during ‘The First Modulithic Debate’ scheduled for Thursday, February 29. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Pluralization/possessive/different tenses of the word (e.g. inflow) of the word WILL count toward the resolution of this market - mere references will not count. The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript (if provided) and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered. If this event is canceled or delayed beyond Thursday, February 29, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes” if Nick White says the word "modular" at least 10 times during ‘The First Modulithic Debate’ scheduled for Thursday, February 29. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Pluralization/possessive/different tenses of the word (e.g. modularity) of the word WILL count toward the resolution of this market - mere references will not count. The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript (if provided) and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered. If this event is canceled or delayed beyond Thursday, February 29, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve to "Yes" if David Hoffman says the word "fundamentals" in the first 5 minutes of ‘The First Modulithic Debate’ scheduled for Thursday, February 29. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

The debate will be considered to have begun once any of the three moderators; David Hoffman, Mike Ippolito, or Meltem Demirors begin speaking to introduce the debate panel or ask a question directed at a member of the panel. Pluralization/possessive/different tenses of the word (e.g. fundamentally) will NOT count toward the resolution of this market - mere references will not count.

The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript (if provided) and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered.
If this event is canceled or delayed beyond Thursday, February 29, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Volume
$14,636
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Feb 29, 2024
Binuksan ang Market
Feb 26, 2024, 7:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if David Hoffman says the word "fundamentals" in the first 5 minutes of ‘The First Modulithic Debate’ scheduled for Thursday, February 29. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The debate will be considered to have begun once any of the three moderators; David Hoffman, Mike Ippolito, or Meltem Demirors begin speaking to introduce the debate panel or ask a question directed at a member of the panel. Pluralization/possessive/different tenses of the word (e.g. fundamentally) will NOT count toward the resolution of this market - mere references will not count. The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript (if provided) and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered. If this event is canceled or delayed beyond Thursday, February 29, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Na-propose ang outcome: Yes 0.50, No 0.50

Walang dispute

Pinal na outcome: Yes 0.50, No 0.50

Mag-ingat sa mga external link.

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "The First Modulithic Debate" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 3 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Hoffman: “Fundamentals” in first 5 minutes " sa 50%, sinusundan ng "Demirors: "inflows" 5 or more times " sa 50%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 50¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 50% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "The First Modulithic Debate" ay naka-generate ng $14.6K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Feb 27, 2024. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "The First Modulithic Debate," i-browse ang 3 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "The First Modulithic Debate" ay "Hoffman: “Fundamentals” in first 5 minutes " sa 50%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 50% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Demirors: "inflows" 5 or more times " sa 50%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "The First Modulithic Debate" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.