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icon for Switzerland’s September Referendum: What will pass?

Switzerland’s September Referendum: What will pass?

icon for Switzerland’s September Referendum: What will pass?

Switzerland’s September Referendum: What will pass?

Sep 27

Nov 29

Sep 27

Nov 29

$30,211 Vol.

Sep 26, 2026
Polymarket

$30,211 Vol.

Polymarket

Neutrality initiative

$20,415 Vol.

7%

Food initiative

$9,796 Vol.

2%

As of market creation, two referenda are scheduled to be held in Switzerland on September 27, 2026: - Issue 1: Popular initiative ‘Safeguarding Swiss neutrality (neutrality initiative)’ - Issue 2: Popular initiative ‘For safe food – through strengthening sustainable domestic production, increasing plant-based foods and ensuring clean drinking water (food initiative)’ This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed referendum is approved under the applicable legal threshold in the specified popular vote. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the popular initiative or, where applicable, the federal counter-proposal is approved under the applicable legal threshold, regardless of any tie-breaker vote. If the referendum is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to “No” if, for any reason, the results of the respective vote are not known definitively by the date the subsequent Referendum in Switzerland is scheduled to be held. The resolution source will be based on a consensus of credible reporting. In the event of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official certified referendum results published by Swiss government authorities, such as the Swiss Federal Chancellery and the information portal provided by the Swiss authorities (https://www.ch.ch/en/votes-and-elections/). Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.Swiss voters will decide on September 27, 2026, between two popular initiatives that each require a double majority of voters and cantons to amend the constitution. The neutrality initiative, backed primarily by the Swiss People’s Party, seeks to enshrine a stricter interpretation that could limit participation in economic sanctions and other foreign-policy measures; government officials and most other parties oppose it, citing risks to bilateral relations and sanctions flexibility. Early polling, including a Tamedia survey showing roughly 34% support, indicates likely rejection. The food initiative focuses on boosting sustainable domestic production, expanding plant-based options, and protecting drinking water quality, with mixed early surveys also pointing toward disapproval. Both measures face the typical high bar for popular initiatives, where passage rates remain low absent broad cross-party consensus.

As of market creation, two referenda are scheduled to be held in Switzerland on September 27, 2026:

- Issue 1: Popular initiative ‘Safeguarding Swiss neutrality (neutrality initiative)’
- Issue 2: Popular initiative ‘For safe food – through strengthening sustainable domestic production, increasing plant-based foods and ensuring clean drinking water (food initiative)’

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed referendum is approved under the applicable legal threshold in the specified popular vote. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the popular initiative or, where applicable, the federal counter-proposal is approved under the applicable legal threshold, regardless of any tie-breaker vote.

If the referendum is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to “No” if, for any reason, the results of the respective vote are not known definitively by the date the subsequent Referendum in Switzerland is scheduled to be held.

The resolution source will be based on a consensus of credible reporting. In the event of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official certified referendum results published by Swiss government authorities, such as the Swiss Federal Chancellery and the information portal provided by the Swiss authorities (https://www.ch.ch/en/votes-and-elections/). Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.
Volume
$30,211
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 27, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jul 13, 2026, 8:03 PM ET
As of market creation, two referenda are scheduled to be held in Switzerland on September 27, 2026: - Issue 1: Popular initiative ‘Safeguarding Swiss neutrality (neutrality initiative)’ - Issue 2: Popular initiative ‘For safe food – through strengthening sustainable domestic production, increasing plant-based foods and ensuring clean drinking water (food initiative)’ This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed referendum is approved under the applicable legal threshold in the specified popular vote. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the popular initiative or, where applicable, the federal counter-proposal is approved under the applicable legal threshold, regardless of any tie-breaker vote. If the referendum is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to “No” if, for any reason, the results of the respective vote are not known definitively by the date the subsequent Referendum in Switzerland is scheduled to be held. The resolution source will be based on a consensus of credible reporting. In the event of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official certified referendum results published by Swiss government authorities, such as the Swiss Federal Chancellery and the information portal provided by the Swiss authorities (https://www.ch.ch/en/votes-and-elections/). Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.
As of market creation, two referenda are scheduled to be held in Switzerland on September 27, 2026: - Issue 1: Popular initiative ‘Safeguarding Swiss neutrality (neutrality initiative)’ - Issue 2: Popular initiative ‘For safe food – through strengthening sustainable domestic production, increasing plant-based foods and ensuring clean drinking water (food initiative)’ This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed referendum is approved under the applicable legal threshold in the specified popular vote. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the popular initiative or, where applicable, the federal counter-proposal is approved under the applicable legal threshold, regardless of any tie-breaker vote. If the referendum is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to “No” if, for any reason, the results of the respective vote are not known definitively by the date the subsequent Referendum in Switzerland is scheduled to be held. The resolution source will be based on a consensus of credible reporting. In the event of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official certified referendum results published by Swiss government authorities, such as the Swiss Federal Chancellery and the information portal provided by the Swiss authorities (https://www.ch.ch/en/votes-and-elections/). Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.Swiss voters will decide on September 27, 2026, between two popular initiatives that each require a double majority of voters and cantons to amend the constitution. The neutrality initiative, backed primarily by the Swiss People’s Party, seeks to enshrine a stricter interpretation that could limit participation in economic sanctions and other foreign-policy measures; government officials and most other parties oppose it, citing risks to bilateral relations and sanctions flexibility. Early polling, including a Tamedia survey showing roughly 34% support, indicates likely rejection. The food initiative focuses on boosting sustainable domestic production, expanding plant-based options, and protecting drinking water quality, with mixed early surveys also pointing toward disapproval. Both measures face the typical high bar for popular initiatives, where passage rates remain low absent broad cross-party consensus.

As of market creation, two referenda are scheduled to be held in Switzerland on September 27, 2026:

- Issue 1: Popular initiative ‘Safeguarding Swiss neutrality (neutrality initiative)’
- Issue 2: Popular initiative ‘For safe food – through strengthening sustainable domestic production, increasing plant-based foods and ensuring clean drinking water (food initiative)’

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed referendum is approved under the applicable legal threshold in the specified popular vote. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the popular initiative or, where applicable, the federal counter-proposal is approved under the applicable legal threshold, regardless of any tie-breaker vote.

If the referendum is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to “No” if, for any reason, the results of the respective vote are not known definitively by the date the subsequent Referendum in Switzerland is scheduled to be held.

The resolution source will be based on a consensus of credible reporting. In the event of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official certified referendum results published by Swiss government authorities, such as the Swiss Federal Chancellery and the information portal provided by the Swiss authorities (https://www.ch.ch/en/votes-and-elections/). Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.
Volume
$30,211
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 27, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jul 13, 2026, 8:03 PM ET
As of market creation, two referenda are scheduled to be held in Switzerland on September 27, 2026: - Issue 1: Popular initiative ‘Safeguarding Swiss neutrality (neutrality initiative)’ - Issue 2: Popular initiative ‘For safe food – through strengthening sustainable domestic production, increasing plant-based foods and ensuring clean drinking water (food initiative)’ This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed referendum is approved under the applicable legal threshold in the specified popular vote. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the popular initiative or, where applicable, the federal counter-proposal is approved under the applicable legal threshold, regardless of any tie-breaker vote. If the referendum is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to “No” if, for any reason, the results of the respective vote are not known definitively by the date the subsequent Referendum in Switzerland is scheduled to be held. The resolution source will be based on a consensus of credible reporting. In the event of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official certified referendum results published by Swiss government authorities, such as the Swiss Federal Chancellery and the information portal provided by the Swiss authorities (https://www.ch.ch/en/votes-and-elections/). Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Switzerland’s September Referendum: What will pass?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 2 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Neutrality initiative" sa 7%, sinusundan ng "Food initiative" sa 2%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 7¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 7% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Switzerland’s September Referendum: What will pass?" ay naka-generate ng $30.2K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Jul 13, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Switzerland’s September Referendum: What will pass?," i-browse ang 2 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Isa itong wide-open market. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna para sa "Switzerland’s September Referendum: What will pass?" ay "Neutrality initiative" sa 7% lang, na may "Food initiative" na malapit sa likod sa 2%. Walang outcome na may malakas na mayorya, kaya nakikita ito ng mga trader bilang highly uncertain, na maaaring magbigay ng mga kakaibang trading opportunity. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time, kaya i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para panoorin kung paano nag-e-evolve ang probabilities.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Switzerland’s September Referendum: What will pass?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.