Spider-Man: Brand New Day opened to a record $360 million domestic weekend on July 31 and has maintained strong audience retention through its third frame, reaching roughly $786 million as of mid-August. Traders see the film on pace for a final domestic total in the high $900 million range based on its 2.2x legs to date, consistent holds against limited competition, and typical late-summer Marvel performance patterns. With only two weekends remaining before the August 31 cutoff, the market-implied 63.5% probability on the 800–900 million band versus 34.3% on 900 million-plus reflects uncertainty over whether the next two frames and weekday runs will add the roughly $120–150 million needed to cross that threshold. Historical box-office trajectories for comparable superhero tentpoles released in late July support the current trader consensus.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by August 31?
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by August 31?
800 - 900m 64%
900m+ 34.2%
700 - 800m <1%
<400m <1%
$1,208,728 Vol.
$1,208,728 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
<400m
<1%
400 - 500m
<1%
500 - 600m
<1%
600 - 700m
<1%
700 - 800m
<1%
800 - 900m
64%
900m+
34%
800 - 900m 64%
900m+ 34.2%
700 - 800m <1%
<400m <1%
$1,208,728 Vol.
$1,208,728 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
<400m
$17,115 Vol.
<1%
400 - 500m
$31,910 Vol.
<1%
500 - 600m
$27,729 Vol.
<1%
600 - 700m
$42,499 Vol.
<1%
700 - 800m
$113,957 Vol.
<1%
800 - 900m
$263,185 Vol.
64%
900m+
$712,333 Vol.
34%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day opened to a record $360 million domestic weekend on July 31 and has maintained strong audience retention through its third frame, reaching roughly $786 million as of mid-August. Traders see the film on pace for a final domestic total in the high $900 million range based on its 2.2x legs to date, consistent holds against limited competition, and typical late-summer Marvel performance patterns. With only two weekends remaining before the August 31 cutoff, the market-implied 63.5% probability on the 800–900 million band versus 34.3% on 900 million-plus reflects uncertainty over whether the next two frames and weekday runs will add the roughly $120–150 million needed to cross that threshold. Historical box-office trajectories for comparable superhero tentpoles released in late July support the current trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Binuksan ang Market: Jul 17, 2026, 7:33 PM ET
Volume
$1,208,728Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jul 17, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day opened to a record $360 million domestic weekend on July 31 and has maintained strong audience retention through its third frame, reaching roughly $786 million as of mid-August. Traders see the film on pace for a final domestic total in the high $900 million range based on its 2.2x legs to date, consistent holds against limited competition, and typical late-summer Marvel performance patterns. With only two weekends remaining before the August 31 cutoff, the market-implied 63.5% probability on the 800–900 million band versus 34.3% on 900 million-plus reflects uncertainty over whether the next two frames and weekday runs will add the roughly $120–150 million needed to cross that threshold. Historical box-office trajectories for comparable superhero tentpoles released in late July support the current trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$1,208,728Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jul 17, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Spider-Man: Brand New Day opened to a record $360 million domestic weekend on July 31 and has maintained strong audience retention through its third frame, reaching roughly $786 million as of mid-August. Traders see the film on pace for a final domestic total in the high $900 million range based on its 2.2x legs to date, consistent holds against limited competition, and typical late-summer Marvel performance patterns. With only two weekends remaining before the August 31 cutoff, the market-implied 63.5% probability on the 800–900 million band versus 34.3% on 900 million-plus reflects uncertainty over whether the next two frames and weekday runs will add the roughly $120–150 million needed to cross that threshold. Historical box-office trajectories for comparable superhero tentpoles released in late July support the current trader consensus.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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