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icon for Will SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by...?

Will SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by...?

icon for Will SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by...?

Will SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by...?

LogoPanoorin ang Stream
LogoPanoorin ang Stream

$168,523 Vol.

Feb 28, 2022
Polymarket

$168,523 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for ...February 28, 2022?

...February 28, 2022?

$1,383 Vol.

No

icon for ...June 30, 2022?

...June 30, 2022?

$27,279 Vol.

No

icon for ...September 30, 2022?

...September 30, 2022?

$111,604 Vol.

No

icon for ...December 31, 2022?

...December 31, 2022?

$28,256 Vol.

No

This is a market on whether SpaceX will successfully complete a launch of the next Starship intended to reach outer space, currently dubbed "SN20", by February 28 2022. A successful launch will mean that Starship takes off from its launchpad and successfully reaches an altitude of 62 miles above sea level. The outcome will be corroborated by examining SpaceX’s official video feed of the launch (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. If the Starship completes a successful launch by February 28 2022, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship or replacement of "SN20" with another vehicle (i.e. "SN21", etc.) will have no bearing on the outcome of the market. Any SpaceX Starship launch that is not intended for outer space will have no bearing on the market. This market will resolve solely on whether the first Starship launch intended to reach outer space will successfully reach 62 miles above sea level.This is a market on whether SpaceX will successfully complete a launch of the next Starship intended to reach outer space, currently dubbed "SN20", by June 30 2022. A successful launch will mean that Starship takes off from its launchpad and successfully reaches an altitude of 62 miles above sea level. The outcome will be corroborated by examining SpaceX’s official video feed of the launch (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. If the Starship completes a successful launch by June 30 2022, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship or replacement of "SN20" with another vehicle (i.e. "SN21", etc.) will have no bearing on the outcome of the market. Any SpaceX Starship launch that is not intended for outer space will have no bearing on the market. This market will resolve solely on whether the first Starship launch intended to reach outer space will successfully reach 62 miles above sea level.This is a market on whether SpaceX will successfully complete a launch of the next Starship intended to reach outer space, currently dubbed "SN20", by September 30 2022. A successful launch will mean that Starship takes off from its launchpad and successfully reaches an altitude of 62 miles above sea level. The outcome will be corroborated by examining SpaceX’s official video feed of the launch (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. If the Starship completes a successful launch by September 30 2022, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship or replacement of "SN20" with another vehicle (i.e. "SN21", etc.) will have no bearing on the outcome of the market. Any SpaceX Starship launch that is not intended for outer space will have no bearing on the market. This market will resolve solely on whether the first Starship launch intended to reach outer space will successfully reach 62 miles above sea level.This is a market on whether SpaceX will successfully complete a launch of the next Starship intended to reach outer space, currently dubbed "SN20", by December 31 2022. A successful launch will mean that Starship takes off from its launchpad and successfully reaches an altitude of 62 miles above sea level. The outcome will be corroborated by examining SpaceX’s official video feed of the launch (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. If the Starship completes a successful launch by December 31 2022, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship or replacement of "SN20" with another vehicle (i.e. "SN21", etc.) will have no bearing on the outcome of the market. Any SpaceX Starship launch that is not intended for outer space will have no bearing on the market. This market will resolve solely on whether the first Starship launch intended to reach outer space will successfully reach 62 miles above sea level.

This is a market on whether SpaceX will successfully complete a launch of the next Starship intended to reach outer space, currently dubbed "SN20", by February 28 2022.

A successful launch will mean that Starship takes off from its launchpad and successfully reaches an altitude of 62 miles above sea level.

The outcome will be corroborated by examining SpaceX’s official video feed of the launch (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary.

If the Starship completes a successful launch by February 28 2022, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome.

Any name change of the Starship or replacement of "SN20" with another vehicle (i.e. "SN21", etc.) will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.

Any SpaceX Starship launch that is not intended for outer space will have no bearing on the market.

This market will resolve solely on whether the first Starship launch intended to reach outer space will successfully reach 62 miles above sea level.
Volume
$168,523
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Feb 28, 2022
Binuksan ang Market
Jan 17, 2022, 7:00 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX

Resolver

0xCB1822859...
This is a market on whether SpaceX will successfully complete a launch of the next Starship intended to reach outer space, currently dubbed "SN20", by February 28 2022. A successful launch will mean that Starship takes off from its launchpad and successfully reaches an altitude of 62 miles above sea level. The outcome will be corroborated by examining SpaceX’s official video feed of the launch (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. If the Starship completes a successful launch by February 28 2022, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship or replacement of "SN20" with another vehicle (i.e. "SN21", etc.) will have no bearing on the outcome of the market. Any SpaceX Starship launch that is not intended for outer space will have no bearing on the market. This market will resolve solely on whether the first Starship launch intended to reach outer space will successfully reach 62 miles above sea level.
This is a market on whether SpaceX will successfully complete a launch of the next Starship intended to reach outer space, currently dubbed "SN20", by February 28 2022. A successful launch will mean that Starship takes off from its launchpad and successfully reaches an altitude of 62 miles above sea level. The outcome will be corroborated by examining SpaceX’s official video feed of the launch (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. If the Starship completes a successful launch by February 28 2022, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship or replacement of "SN20" with another vehicle (i.e. "SN21", etc.) will have no bearing on the outcome of the market. Any SpaceX Starship launch that is not intended for outer space will have no bearing on the market. This market will resolve solely on whether the first Starship launch intended to reach outer space will successfully reach 62 miles above sea level.This is a market on whether SpaceX will successfully complete a launch of the next Starship intended to reach outer space, currently dubbed "SN20", by June 30 2022. A successful launch will mean that Starship takes off from its launchpad and successfully reaches an altitude of 62 miles above sea level. The outcome will be corroborated by examining SpaceX’s official video feed of the launch (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. If the Starship completes a successful launch by June 30 2022, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship or replacement of "SN20" with another vehicle (i.e. "SN21", etc.) will have no bearing on the outcome of the market. Any SpaceX Starship launch that is not intended for outer space will have no bearing on the market. This market will resolve solely on whether the first Starship launch intended to reach outer space will successfully reach 62 miles above sea level.This is a market on whether SpaceX will successfully complete a launch of the next Starship intended to reach outer space, currently dubbed "SN20", by September 30 2022. A successful launch will mean that Starship takes off from its launchpad and successfully reaches an altitude of 62 miles above sea level. The outcome will be corroborated by examining SpaceX’s official video feed of the launch (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. If the Starship completes a successful launch by September 30 2022, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship or replacement of "SN20" with another vehicle (i.e. "SN21", etc.) will have no bearing on the outcome of the market. Any SpaceX Starship launch that is not intended for outer space will have no bearing on the market. This market will resolve solely on whether the first Starship launch intended to reach outer space will successfully reach 62 miles above sea level.This is a market on whether SpaceX will successfully complete a launch of the next Starship intended to reach outer space, currently dubbed "SN20", by December 31 2022. A successful launch will mean that Starship takes off from its launchpad and successfully reaches an altitude of 62 miles above sea level. The outcome will be corroborated by examining SpaceX’s official video feed of the launch (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. If the Starship completes a successful launch by December 31 2022, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship or replacement of "SN20" with another vehicle (i.e. "SN21", etc.) will have no bearing on the outcome of the market. Any SpaceX Starship launch that is not intended for outer space will have no bearing on the market. This market will resolve solely on whether the first Starship launch intended to reach outer space will successfully reach 62 miles above sea level.

This is a market on whether SpaceX will successfully complete a launch of the next Starship intended to reach outer space, currently dubbed "SN20", by February 28 2022.

A successful launch will mean that Starship takes off from its launchpad and successfully reaches an altitude of 62 miles above sea level.

The outcome will be corroborated by examining SpaceX’s official video feed of the launch (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary.

If the Starship completes a successful launch by February 28 2022, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome.

Any name change of the Starship or replacement of "SN20" with another vehicle (i.e. "SN21", etc.) will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.

Any SpaceX Starship launch that is not intended for outer space will have no bearing on the market.

This market will resolve solely on whether the first Starship launch intended to reach outer space will successfully reach 62 miles above sea level.
Volume
$168,523
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Feb 28, 2022
Binuksan ang Market
Jan 17, 2022, 7:00 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX

Resolver

0xCB1822859...
This is a market on whether SpaceX will successfully complete a launch of the next Starship intended to reach outer space, currently dubbed "SN20", by February 28 2022. A successful launch will mean that Starship takes off from its launchpad and successfully reaches an altitude of 62 miles above sea level. The outcome will be corroborated by examining SpaceX’s official video feed of the launch (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. If the Starship completes a successful launch by February 28 2022, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship or replacement of "SN20" with another vehicle (i.e. "SN21", etc.) will have no bearing on the outcome of the market. Any SpaceX Starship launch that is not intended for outer space will have no bearing on the market. This market will resolve solely on whether the first Starship launch intended to reach outer space will successfully reach 62 miles above sea level.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Will SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by...?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 4 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "...February 28, 2022?" sa 0%, sinusundan ng "...June 30, 2022?" sa 0%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 0¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 0% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Will SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by...?" ay naka-generate ng $168.5K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Jan 18, 2022. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Will SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by...?," i-browse ang 4 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Isa itong wide-open market. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna para sa "Will SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by...?" ay "...February 28, 2022?" sa 0% lang, na may "...June 30, 2022?" na malapit sa likod sa 0%. Walang outcome na may malakas na mayorya, kaya nakikita ito ng mga trader bilang highly uncertain, na maaaring magbigay ng mga kakaibang trading opportunity. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time, kaya i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para panoorin kung paano nag-e-evolve ang probabilities.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Will SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by...?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.