The Supreme Court’s June 30, 2026, 6-3 ruling upholding birthright citizenship under the Fourteenth Amendment established a clear procedural timeline for any rehearing petition. President Trump publicly vowed an immediate request, yet the 25-day filing window closed in late July without an administration submission on the docket. Supreme Court rules require a formal petition before justices can even consider rehearing, and the Court has not granted one in a fully argued case since 1965. With the deadline now passed by several weeks and no evident path to revive the matter before December 31, traders assign the 96.8 percent probability to “No.” Unlikely developments that could still shift odds include an extraordinary procedural maneuver or late-filed petition accepted despite the deadline, though both face steep institutional barriers.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update4% tsansa
BAGO
BAGO
Dec 31, 2026
4% tsansa
BAGO
BAGO
Dec 31, 2026
The Supreme Court struck down Donald Trump’s Executive Order “Protecting the Meaning and Value of American Citizenship” in Trump v. Barbara (https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/25pdf/25-365_4hdj.pdf) on June 30, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court of the United States grants a petition by the executive branch of the United States for a rehearing in that case by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A ruling to allow briefing on whether the Court should rehear the case will not be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”, nor will an amendment or correction to the Court's opinion that does not constitute a formal grant of rehearing.
If a Supreme Court ruling on this case denies a petition to rehear the case, or if no such petition is filed by the applicable deadlines, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Supreme Court’s June 30, 2026, 6-3 ruling upholding birthright citizenship under the Fourteenth Amendment established a clear procedural timeline for any rehearing petition. President Trump publicly vowed an immediate request, yet the 25-day filing window closed in late July without an administration submission on the docket. Supreme Court rules require a formal petition before justices can even consider rehearing, and the Court has not granted one in a fully argued case since 1965. With the deadline now passed by several weeks and no evident path to revive the matter before December 31, traders assign the 96.8 percent probability to “No.” Unlikely developments that could still shift odds include an extraordinary procedural maneuver or late-filed petition accepted despite the deadline, though both face steep institutional barriers.
The Supreme Court struck down Donald Trump’s Executive Order “Protecting the Meaning and Value of American Citizenship” in Trump v. Barbara (https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/25pdf/25-365_4hdj.pdf) on June 30, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court of the United States grants a petition by the executive branch of the United States for a rehearing in that case by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A ruling to allow briefing on whether the Court should rehear the case will not be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”, nor will an amendment or correction to the Court's opinion that does not constitute a formal grant of rehearing.
If a Supreme Court ruling on this case denies a petition to rehear the case, or if no such petition is filed by the applicable deadlines, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court of the United States grants a petition by the executive branch of the United States for a rehearing in that case by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A ruling to allow briefing on whether the Court should rehear the case will not be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”, nor will an amendment or correction to the Court's opinion that does not constitute a formal grant of rehearing.
If a Supreme Court ruling on this case denies a petition to rehear the case, or if no such petition is filed by the applicable deadlines, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Jul 13, 2026, 8:18 PM ET
Volume
$1,729Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jul 13, 2026, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Supreme Court struck down Donald Trump’s Executive Order “Protecting the Meaning and Value of American Citizenship” in Trump v. Barbara (https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/25pdf/25-365_4hdj.pdf) on June 30, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court of the United States grants a petition by the executive branch of the United States for a rehearing in that case by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A ruling to allow briefing on whether the Court should rehear the case will not be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”, nor will an amendment or correction to the Court's opinion that does not constitute a formal grant of rehearing.
If a Supreme Court ruling on this case denies a petition to rehear the case, or if no such petition is filed by the applicable deadlines, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Supreme Court’s June 30, 2026, 6-3 ruling upholding birthright citizenship under the Fourteenth Amendment established a clear procedural timeline for any rehearing petition. President Trump publicly vowed an immediate request, yet the 25-day filing window closed in late July without an administration submission on the docket. Supreme Court rules require a formal petition before justices can even consider rehearing, and the Court has not granted one in a fully argued case since 1965. With the deadline now passed by several weeks and no evident path to revive the matter before December 31, traders assign the 96.8 percent probability to “No.” Unlikely developments that could still shift odds include an extraordinary procedural maneuver or late-filed petition accepted despite the deadline, though both face steep institutional barriers.
The Supreme Court struck down Donald Trump’s Executive Order “Protecting the Meaning and Value of American Citizenship” in Trump v. Barbara (https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/25pdf/25-365_4hdj.pdf) on June 30, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court of the United States grants a petition by the executive branch of the United States for a rehearing in that case by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A ruling to allow briefing on whether the Court should rehear the case will not be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”, nor will an amendment or correction to the Court's opinion that does not constitute a formal grant of rehearing.
If a Supreme Court ruling on this case denies a petition to rehear the case, or if no such petition is filed by the applicable deadlines, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court of the United States grants a petition by the executive branch of the United States for a rehearing in that case by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A ruling to allow briefing on whether the Court should rehear the case will not be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”, nor will an amendment or correction to the Court's opinion that does not constitute a formal grant of rehearing.
If a Supreme Court ruling on this case denies a petition to rehear the case, or if no such petition is filed by the applicable deadlines, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,729Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jul 13, 2026, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Supreme Court’s June 30, 2026, 6-3 ruling upholding birthright citizenship under the Fourteenth Amendment established a clear procedural timeline for any rehearing petition. President Trump publicly vowed an immediate request, yet the 25-day filing window closed in late July without an administration submission on the docket. Supreme Court rules require a formal petition before justices can even consider rehearing, and the Court has not granted one in a fully argued case since 1965. With the deadline now passed by several weeks and no evident path to revive the matter before December 31, traders assign the 96.8 percent probability to “No.” Unlikely developments that could still shift odds include an extraordinary procedural maneuver or late-filed petition accepted despite the deadline, though both face steep institutional barriers.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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