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Halalan·Mga Pangunahing Kaalaman

SC-01 Republican Primary Winner

icon for SC-01 Republican Primary Winner
Halalan·Mga Pangunahing Kaalaman

SC-01 Republican Primary Winner

Mark Smith 89%

Alex Pelbath 10%

Jack Ellison 1.1%

Jenny Costa Honeycutt 1.1%

Polymarket

$17,042 Vol.

Mark Smith 89%

Alex Pelbath 10%

Jack Ellison 1.1%

Jenny Costa Honeycutt 1.1%

Polymarket

$17,042 Vol.

Mark Smith

$6,822 Vol.

89%

Alex Pelbath

$2,584 Vol.

10%

Jack Ellison

$993 Vol.

1%

Jenny Costa Honeycutt

$857 Vol.

1%

Sam McCown

$2,907 Vol.

1%

Jay Byars

$779 Vol.

1%

Logan Cunningham

$771 Vol.

<1%

Dan Brown

$684 Vol.

<1%

Justin Myers

$646 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Mark Smith holds a commanding lead in the June 9 Republican primary for South Carolina’s open 1st congressional district, reflecting his advantages in name recognition as a sitting state representative, superior fundraising totals exceeding $727,000 with strong cash reserves, and an early straw-poll edge over competitors. Alex Pelbath trails as the next most viable contender, buoyed by military background and solid local support but lagging in resources. Remaining candidates, including local officeholders Jenny Costa Honeycutt, Jay Byars, and Sam McCown, draw limited attention amid a crowded field. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with Smith’s structural edges in an open-seat contest vacated by the incumbent pursuing higher office, though the short window to primary day leaves room for late shifts driven by voter turnout or additional endorsements.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$17,042
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 9, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Mark Smith holds a commanding lead in the June 9 Republican primary for South Carolina’s open 1st congressional district, reflecting his advantages in name recognition as a sitting state representative, superior fundraising totals exceeding $727,000 with strong cash reserves, and an early straw-poll edge over competitors. Alex Pelbath trails as the next most viable contender, buoyed by military background and solid local support but lagging in resources. Remaining candidates, including local officeholders Jenny Costa Honeycutt, Jay Byars, and Sam McCown, draw limited attention amid a crowded field. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with Smith’s structural edges in an open-seat contest vacated by the incumbent pursuing higher office, though the short window to primary day leaves room for late shifts driven by voter turnout or additional endorsements.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$17,042
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 9, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "SC-01 Republican Primary Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 9 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Mark Smith" sa 89%, sinusundan ng "Alex Pelbath" sa 10%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 89¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 89% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "SC-01 Republican Primary Winner" ay naka-generate ng $17K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Dec 18, 2025. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "SC-01 Republican Primary Winner," i-browse ang 9 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "SC-01 Republican Primary Winner" ay "Mark Smith" sa 89%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 89% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Alex Pelbath" sa 10%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "SC-01 Republican Primary Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.