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icon for Russian Coup: Putin vs Wagner

Russian Coup: Putin vs Wagner

icon for Russian Coup: Putin vs Wagner

Russian Coup: Putin vs Wagner

Putin

0% tsansa
Polymarket

$378,392 Vol.

Putin

0% tsansa
Polymarket

$378,392 Vol.

This is a market on whether Wagner’s coup (Yevgeny Viktorovich Prigozhin) against Russia will be successful. This market will resolve to “Putin” if at any time Yevgeny Prigozhin is taken into custody (i.e. arrested, captured, etc.) or otherwise discontinues the coup. It will resolve to “Wagner” if at any time Putin is no longer the Russian President. The resolution date for this market will be August 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, at which point if Putin is still President and has more power over Russia, this market will resolve to “Putin”. If one of the aforementioned conditions is met prior to the resolution date, this market will resolve instantly. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. The CIA World Factbook page for Russia, currently available at https://www.cia.gov/the-world-factbook/countries/russia/#government, will also be used.

This is a market on whether Wagner’s coup (Yevgeny Viktorovich Prigozhin) against Russia will be successful.

This market will resolve to “Putin” if at any time Yevgeny Prigozhin is taken into custody (i.e. arrested, captured, etc.) or otherwise discontinues the coup. It will resolve to “Wagner” if at any time Putin is no longer the Russian President. The resolution date for this market will be August 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, at which point if Putin is still President and has more power over Russia, this market will resolve to “Putin”. If one of the aforementioned conditions is met prior to the resolution date, this market will resolve instantly.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. The CIA World Factbook page for Russia, currently available at https://www.cia.gov/the-world-factbook/countries/russia/#government, will also be used.
Volume
$378,392
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 31, 2023
Binuksan ang Market
Jun 23, 2023, 9:10 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.cia.gov/the-world-factbook/countries/russia/#government

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...
This is a market on whether Wagner’s coup (Yevgeny Viktorovich Prigozhin) against Russia will be successful. This market will resolve to “Putin” if at any time Yevgeny Prigozhin is taken into custody (i.e. arrested, captured, etc.) or otherwise discontinues the coup. It will resolve to “Wagner” if at any time Putin is no longer the Russian President. The resolution date for this market will be August 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, at which point if Putin is still President and has more power over Russia, this market will resolve to “Putin”. If one of the aforementioned conditions is met prior to the resolution date, this market will resolve instantly. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. The CIA World Factbook page for Russia, currently available at https://www.cia.gov/the-world-factbook/countries/russia/#government, will also be used.

Na-propose ang outcome: Putin

Walang dispute

Pinal na outcome: Putin

This is a market on whether Wagner’s coup (Yevgeny Viktorovich Prigozhin) against Russia will be successful. This market will resolve to “Putin” if at any time Yevgeny Prigozhin is taken into custody (i.e. arrested, captured, etc.) or otherwise discontinues the coup. It will resolve to “Wagner” if at any time Putin is no longer the Russian President. The resolution date for this market will be August 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, at which point if Putin is still President and has more power over Russia, this market will resolve to “Putin”. If one of the aforementioned conditions is met prior to the resolution date, this market will resolve instantly. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. The CIA World Factbook page for Russia, currently available at https://www.cia.gov/the-world-factbook/countries/russia/#government, will also be used.

This is a market on whether Wagner’s coup (Yevgeny Viktorovich Prigozhin) against Russia will be successful.

This market will resolve to “Putin” if at any time Yevgeny Prigozhin is taken into custody (i.e. arrested, captured, etc.) or otherwise discontinues the coup. It will resolve to “Wagner” if at any time Putin is no longer the Russian President. The resolution date for this market will be August 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, at which point if Putin is still President and has more power over Russia, this market will resolve to “Putin”. If one of the aforementioned conditions is met prior to the resolution date, this market will resolve instantly.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. The CIA World Factbook page for Russia, currently available at https://www.cia.gov/the-world-factbook/countries/russia/#government, will also be used.
Volume
$378,392
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 31, 2023
Binuksan ang Market
Jun 23, 2023, 9:10 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.cia.gov/the-world-factbook/countries/russia/#government

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...
This is a market on whether Wagner’s coup (Yevgeny Viktorovich Prigozhin) against Russia will be successful. This market will resolve to “Putin” if at any time Yevgeny Prigozhin is taken into custody (i.e. arrested, captured, etc.) or otherwise discontinues the coup. It will resolve to “Wagner” if at any time Putin is no longer the Russian President. The resolution date for this market will be August 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, at which point if Putin is still President and has more power over Russia, this market will resolve to “Putin”. If one of the aforementioned conditions is met prior to the resolution date, this market will resolve instantly. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. The CIA World Factbook page for Russia, currently available at https://www.cia.gov/the-world-factbook/countries/russia/#government, will also be used.

Na-propose ang outcome: Putin

Walang dispute

Pinal na outcome: Putin

Mag-ingat sa mga external link.

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Russian Coup: Putin vs Wagner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 2 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Russian Coup: Putin vs Wagner" sa 100%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 100¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 100% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Russian Coup: Putin vs Wagner" ay naka-generate ng $378.4K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Jun 24, 2023. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Russian Coup: Putin vs Wagner," i-browse ang 2 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Russian Coup: Putin vs Wagner" ay "Russian Coup: Putin vs Wagner" sa 100%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 100% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Russian Coup: Putin vs Wagner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.