Russia’s Supreme Court ruling on August 10, 2026, removed Yabloko’s federal candidate list from the September State Duma ballot after a lawsuit by the Rodina party, leaving the liberal opposition group unable to compete in the proportional representation component. This exclusion, upheld on appeal, follows years of administrative barriers, candidate disqualifications, and documented restrictions on media access and operations that have kept the party below the 5% threshold in every national election since 1999. State-aligned polls consistently placed Yabloko near 1-3%, while independent surveys showed modest urban support insufficient to overcome systemic controls favoring established parties. Trader consensus at 99% for “No” reflects this confirmed absence from the nationwide ballot. Late legal reversals or an unexpected election postponement remain the only narrow paths that could alter the outcome before results finalize.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateRussia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?
Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?
1% tsansa
$425,572 Vol.
$425,572 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
1% tsansa
$425,572 Vol.
$425,572 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Russia’s Supreme Court ruling on August 10, 2026, removed Yabloko’s federal candidate list from the September State Duma ballot after a lawsuit by the Rodina party, leaving the liberal opposition group unable to compete in the proportional representation component. This exclusion, upheld on appeal, follows years of administrative barriers, candidate disqualifications, and documented restrictions on media access and operations that have kept the party below the 5% threshold in every national election since 1999. State-aligned polls consistently placed Yabloko near 1-3%, while independent surveys showed modest urban support insufficient to overcome systemic controls favoring established parties. Trader consensus at 99% for “No” reflects this confirmed absence from the nationwide ballot. Late legal reversals or an unexpected election postponement remain the only narrow paths that could alter the outcome before results finalize.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 7, 2026, 9:57 AM ET
Volume
$425,572Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 20, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 7, 2026, 9:57 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Russia’s Supreme Court ruling on August 10, 2026, removed Yabloko’s federal candidate list from the September State Duma ballot after a lawsuit by the Rodina party, leaving the liberal opposition group unable to compete in the proportional representation component. This exclusion, upheld on appeal, follows years of administrative barriers, candidate disqualifications, and documented restrictions on media access and operations that have kept the party below the 5% threshold in every national election since 1999. State-aligned polls consistently placed Yabloko near 1-3%, while independent surveys showed modest urban support insufficient to overcome systemic controls favoring established parties. Trader consensus at 99% for “No” reflects this confirmed absence from the nationwide ballot. Late legal reversals or an unexpected election postponement remain the only narrow paths that could alter the outcome before results finalize.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volume
$425,572Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 20, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 7, 2026, 9:57 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Russia’s Supreme Court ruling on August 10, 2026, removed Yabloko’s federal candidate list from the September State Duma ballot after a lawsuit by the Rodina party, leaving the liberal opposition group unable to compete in the proportional representation component. This exclusion, upheld on appeal, follows years of administrative barriers, candidate disqualifications, and documented restrictions on media access and operations that have kept the party below the 5% threshold in every national election since 1999. State-aligned polls consistently placed Yabloko near 1-3%, while independent surveys showed modest urban support insufficient to overcome systemic controls favoring established parties. Trader consensus at 99% for “No” reflects this confirmed absence from the nationwide ballot. Late legal reversals or an unexpected election postponement remain the only narrow paths that could alter the outcome before results finalize.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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