Vladimir Putin maintains firm control over Russia’s security apparatus and elite networks as of August 2026, with no verified coup attempt materializing despite earlier intelligence reports of tightened personal protections and surveillance measures around the president and close staff. Kremlin actions since March, including heightened alerts over potential plots linked to figures like Sergei Shoigu, have reinforced regime cohesion without triggering broader defections. Ongoing repression of military critics and milbloggers, combined with United Russia’s expected dominance in September’s State Duma elections, further signals stability. Traders price the “No” outcome at 93.5 percent because historical patterns show Russian leaders rarely face successful challenges from within, and current institutional levers continue to outweigh reported strains from the Ukraine conflict or isolated elite discontent.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update$117,167 Vol.
$117,167 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$117,167 Vol.
$117,167 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Vladimir Putin maintains firm control over Russia’s security apparatus and elite networks as of August 2026, with no verified coup attempt materializing despite earlier intelligence reports of tightened personal protections and surveillance measures around the president and close staff. Kremlin actions since March, including heightened alerts over potential plots linked to figures like Sergei Shoigu, have reinforced regime cohesion without triggering broader defections. Ongoing repression of military critics and milbloggers, combined with United Russia’s expected dominance in September’s State Duma elections, further signals stability. Traders price the “No” outcome at 93.5 percent because historical patterns show Russian leaders rarely face successful challenges from within, and current institutional levers continue to outweigh reported strains from the Ukraine conflict or isolated elite discontent.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Binuksan ang Market: May 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
Volume
$117,167Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Vladimir Putin maintains firm control over Russia’s security apparatus and elite networks as of August 2026, with no verified coup attempt materializing despite earlier intelligence reports of tightened personal protections and surveillance measures around the president and close staff. Kremlin actions since March, including heightened alerts over potential plots linked to figures like Sergei Shoigu, have reinforced regime cohesion without triggering broader defections. Ongoing repression of military critics and milbloggers, combined with United Russia’s expected dominance in September’s State Duma elections, further signals stability. Traders price the “No” outcome at 93.5 percent because historical patterns show Russian leaders rarely face successful challenges from within, and current institutional levers continue to outweigh reported strains from the Ukraine conflict or isolated elite discontent.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$117,167Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Vladimir Putin maintains firm control over Russia’s security apparatus and elite networks as of August 2026, with no verified coup attempt materializing despite earlier intelligence reports of tightened personal protections and surveillance measures around the president and close staff. Kremlin actions since March, including heightened alerts over potential plots linked to figures like Sergei Shoigu, have reinforced regime cohesion without triggering broader defections. Ongoing repression of military critics and milbloggers, combined with United Russia’s expected dominance in September’s State Duma elections, further signals stability. Traders price the “No” outcome at 93.5 percent because historical patterns show Russian leaders rarely face successful challenges from within, and current institutional levers continue to outweigh reported strains from the Ukraine conflict or isolated elite discontent.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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