The Black Ball leads trader sentiment in the Oscars 2027 Best International Feature race with a 67% implied probability, driven by its Cannes breakout status, Netflix backing, and strong positioning as Spain’s likely submission following the country’s September shortlist. Festival momentum and early industry narrative have elevated it ahead of a crowded field, where films like Fjord (Palme d’Or winner), Possible Love, All of a Sudden, Coward, and The Beloved sit at single-digit odds amid ongoing national selections through late September. The Academy’s December 15 shortlist of 15 titles and January 21 nominations will serve as key catalysts, with historical patterns favoring guild-aligned or critically dominant entries over late surprises in this secret-ballot category.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateOscars 2027: Best International Feature Film Winner
The Black Ball 67%
Fatherland 9.8%
Possible Love 9.0%
The Beloved 8.7%
$24,220 Vol.
$24,220 Vol.
The Black Ball
67%
Fatherland
10%
Possible Love
9%
The Beloved
7%
All of a Sudden
7%
Fjord
4%
Minotaur
2%
Coward
1%
Bitter Christmas
1%
Sheep in the Box
1%
Parallel Tales
1%
The Dreamed Adventure
<1%
Rose
<1%
The Man I Love
<1%
Hope
<1%
The Black Ball 67%
Fatherland 9.8%
Possible Love 9.0%
The Beloved 8.7%
$24,220 Vol.
$24,220 Vol.
The Black Ball
67%
Fatherland
10%
Possible Love
9%
The Beloved
7%
All of a Sudden
7%
Fjord
4%
Minotaur
2%
Coward
1%
Bitter Christmas
1%
Sheep in the Box
1%
Parallel Tales
1%
The Dreamed Adventure
<1%
Rose
<1%
The Man I Love
<1%
Hope
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best International Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best International Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 6, 2026, 4:34 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best International Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best International Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Black Ball leads trader sentiment in the Oscars 2027 Best International Feature race with a 67% implied probability, driven by its Cannes breakout status, Netflix backing, and strong positioning as Spain’s likely submission following the country’s September shortlist. Festival momentum and early industry narrative have elevated it ahead of a crowded field, where films like Fjord (Palme d’Or winner), Possible Love, All of a Sudden, Coward, and The Beloved sit at single-digit odds amid ongoing national selections through late September. The Academy’s December 15 shortlist of 15 titles and January 21 nominations will serve as key catalysts, with historical patterns favoring guild-aligned or critically dominant entries over late surprises in this secret-ballot category.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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