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icon for OpenAI Sora public release before May?

OpenAI Sora public release before May?

icon for OpenAI Sora public release before May?

OpenAI Sora public release before May?

0% tsansa
Polymarket

$26,728 Vol.

0% tsansa
Polymarket

$26,728 Vol.

On February 15, OpenAI announced a new AI model designed to generate video from text, Sora. This model is initially being made available to red teamers, however there is heavy speculation over when it will be made available to the general public. You can see OpenAI's statements on Sora here: https://openai.com/sora This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's Sora model is made available to the general public by April 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Sora must be launched and publicly accessible, which includes open beta or open rolling waitlist signups, for this market to resolve to "Yes". Closed beta or an otherwise private launch will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

On February 15, OpenAI announced a new AI model designed to generate video from text, Sora. This model is initially being made available to red teamers, however there is heavy speculation over when it will be made available to the general public. You can see OpenAI's statements on Sora here: https://openai.com/sora

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's Sora model is made available to the general public by April 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Sora must be launched and publicly accessible, which includes open beta or open rolling waitlist signups, for this market to resolve to "Yes". Closed beta or an otherwise private launch will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$26,728
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Apr 30, 2024
Binuksan ang Market
Feb 15, 2024, 2:49 PM ET
On February 15, OpenAI announced a new AI model designed to generate video from text, Sora. This model is initially being made available to red teamers, however there is heavy speculation over when it will be made available to the general public. You can see OpenAI's statements on Sora here: https://openai.com/sora This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's Sora model is made available to the general public by April 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Sora must be launched and publicly accessible, which includes open beta or open rolling waitlist signups, for this market to resolve to "Yes". Closed beta or an otherwise private launch will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Na-propose ang outcome: No

Walang dispute

Pinal na outcome: No

On February 15, OpenAI announced a new AI model designed to generate video from text, Sora. This model is initially being made available to red teamers, however there is heavy speculation over when it will be made available to the general public. You can see OpenAI's statements on Sora here: https://openai.com/sora This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's Sora model is made available to the general public by April 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Sora must be launched and publicly accessible, which includes open beta or open rolling waitlist signups, for this market to resolve to "Yes". Closed beta or an otherwise private launch will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

On February 15, OpenAI announced a new AI model designed to generate video from text, Sora. This model is initially being made available to red teamers, however there is heavy speculation over when it will be made available to the general public. You can see OpenAI's statements on Sora here: https://openai.com/sora

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's Sora model is made available to the general public by April 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Sora must be launched and publicly accessible, which includes open beta or open rolling waitlist signups, for this market to resolve to "Yes". Closed beta or an otherwise private launch will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$26,728
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Apr 30, 2024
Binuksan ang Market
Feb 15, 2024, 2:49 PM ET
On February 15, OpenAI announced a new AI model designed to generate video from text, Sora. This model is initially being made available to red teamers, however there is heavy speculation over when it will be made available to the general public. You can see OpenAI's statements on Sora here: https://openai.com/sora This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's Sora model is made available to the general public by April 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Sora must be launched and publicly accessible, which includes open beta or open rolling waitlist signups, for this market to resolve to "Yes". Closed beta or an otherwise private launch will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Na-propose ang outcome: No

Walang dispute

Pinal na outcome: No

Mag-ingat sa mga external link.

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "OpenAI Sora public release before May?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng "Yes" o "No" shares batay sa kung naniniwala silang mangyayari ang event na ito. Ang kasalukuyang crowd-sourced probability ay 0% para sa "Yes." Halimbawa, kung ang "Yes" ay naka-presyo sa 0¢, ang market ay kolektibong nagtatakda ng 0% na tsansa na mangyayari ang event na ito. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "OpenAI Sora public release before May?" ay naka-generate ng $26.7K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Feb 15, 2024. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "OpenAI Sora public release before May?," piliin lang kung naniniwala ka na ang sagot ay "Yes" o "No." Ang bawat panig ay may kasalukuyang presyo na sumasalamin sa implied probability ng market. Ilagay ang iyong halaga at i-click ang "Trade." Kung bibili ka ng "Yes" shares at na-resolve ang outcome bilang "Yes," nagbabayad ang bawat share ng $1. Kung na-resolve bilang "No," ang iyong "Yes" shares ay nagkakahalaga ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang probability para sa "OpenAI Sora public release before May?" ay 0% para sa "Yes." Ibig sabihin nito na kasalukuyang naniniwala ang Polymarket crowd na may 0% tsansa na mangyayari ang event na ito. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time batay sa actual trades, na nagbibigay ng patuloy na ina-update na signal kung ano ang inaasahan ng market na mangyayari.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "OpenAI Sora public release before May?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.