OPEC continues to operate through regular ministerial meetings and production quota decisions by core members including Saudi Arabia, Russia, and others, despite the UAE’s May 2026 exit that reduced its collective capacity. Member states retain strong incentives to coordinate output amid the ongoing Iran conflict, Hormuz disruptions, and shifting global demand forecasts, preserving the organization’s institutional framework established in 1960. Trader consensus reflects this continuity and the absence of any formal dissolution process or coordinated withdrawal by a majority of members. Additional exits by countries such as Venezuela or Iraq, or a breakdown in quota compliance ahead of 2027 capacity reviews, represent the primary pathways that could still elevate dissolution risks before year-end.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update3% tsansa
$35,205 Vol.
$35,205 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
3% tsansa
$35,205 Vol.
$35,205 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
OPEC continues to operate through regular ministerial meetings and production quota decisions by core members including Saudi Arabia, Russia, and others, despite the UAE’s May 2026 exit that reduced its collective capacity. Member states retain strong incentives to coordinate output amid the ongoing Iran conflict, Hormuz disruptions, and shifting global demand forecasts, preserving the organization’s institutional framework established in 1960. Trader consensus reflects this continuity and the absence of any formal dissolution process or coordinated withdrawal by a majority of members. Additional exits by countries such as Venezuela or Iraq, or a breakdown in quota compliance ahead of 2027 capacity reviews, represent the primary pathways that could still elevate dissolution risks before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Apr 28, 2026, 1:35 PM ET
Volume
$35,205Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Apr 28, 2026, 1:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
OPEC continues to operate through regular ministerial meetings and production quota decisions by core members including Saudi Arabia, Russia, and others, despite the UAE’s May 2026 exit that reduced its collective capacity. Member states retain strong incentives to coordinate output amid the ongoing Iran conflict, Hormuz disruptions, and shifting global demand forecasts, preserving the organization’s institutional framework established in 1960. Trader consensus reflects this continuity and the absence of any formal dissolution process or coordinated withdrawal by a majority of members. Additional exits by countries such as Venezuela or Iraq, or a breakdown in quota compliance ahead of 2027 capacity reviews, represent the primary pathways that could still elevate dissolution risks before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$35,205Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Apr 28, 2026, 1:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OPEC continues to operate through regular ministerial meetings and production quota decisions by core members including Saudi Arabia, Russia, and others, despite the UAE’s May 2026 exit that reduced its collective capacity. Member states retain strong incentives to coordinate output amid the ongoing Iran conflict, Hormuz disruptions, and shifting global demand forecasts, preserving the organization’s institutional framework established in 1960. Trader consensus reflects this continuity and the absence of any formal dissolution process or coordinated withdrawal by a majority of members. Additional exits by countries such as Venezuela or Iraq, or a breakdown in quota compliance ahead of 2027 capacity reviews, represent the primary pathways that could still elevate dissolution risks before year-end.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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