OPEC's continued operational activity underpins the 93.5% market-implied probability that it will not dissolve in 2026. Core members including Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, and Kuwait have held multiple ministerial meetings this year, reaffirmed production adjustments totaling hundreds of thousands of barrels per day, and scheduled further sessions into late 2026 despite the UAE's exit in May and supply disruptions from the Strait of Hormuz closure. These steps reflect sustained commitment to quota coordination and market stabilization amid shifting global oil balances. While additional producer exits or escalated geopolitical fragmentation could introduce uncertainty, the group's institutional framework and active decision-making make near-term dissolution highly improbable based on current trader consensus.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateOPEC dissolves in 2026?
OPEC dissolves in 2026?
$29,586 Vol.
$29,586 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$29,586 Vol.
$29,586 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
OPEC's continued operational activity underpins the 93.5% market-implied probability that it will not dissolve in 2026. Core members including Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, and Kuwait have held multiple ministerial meetings this year, reaffirmed production adjustments totaling hundreds of thousands of barrels per day, and scheduled further sessions into late 2026 despite the UAE's exit in May and supply disruptions from the Strait of Hormuz closure. These steps reflect sustained commitment to quota coordination and market stabilization amid shifting global oil balances. While additional producer exits or escalated geopolitical fragmentation could introduce uncertainty, the group's institutional framework and active decision-making make near-term dissolution highly improbable based on current trader consensus.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Apr 28, 2026, 1:35 PM ET
Volume
$29,586Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Apr 28, 2026, 1:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
OPEC's continued operational activity underpins the 93.5% market-implied probability that it will not dissolve in 2026. Core members including Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, and Kuwait have held multiple ministerial meetings this year, reaffirmed production adjustments totaling hundreds of thousands of barrels per day, and scheduled further sessions into late 2026 despite the UAE's exit in May and supply disruptions from the Strait of Hormuz closure. These steps reflect sustained commitment to quota coordination and market stabilization amid shifting global oil balances. While additional producer exits or escalated geopolitical fragmentation could introduce uncertainty, the group's institutional framework and active decision-making make near-term dissolution highly improbable based on current trader consensus.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$29,586Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Apr 28, 2026, 1:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OPEC's continued operational activity underpins the 93.5% market-implied probability that it will not dissolve in 2026. Core members including Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, and Kuwait have held multiple ministerial meetings this year, reaffirmed production adjustments totaling hundreds of thousands of barrels per day, and scheduled further sessions into late 2026 despite the UAE's exit in May and supply disruptions from the Strait of Hormuz closure. These steps reflect sustained commitment to quota coordination and market stabilization amid shifting global oil balances. While additional producer exits or escalated geopolitical fragmentation could introduce uncertainty, the group's institutional framework and active decision-making make near-term dissolution highly improbable based on current trader consensus.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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