Incumbent Democratic Representative Steven Horsford faces minimal primary opposition in Nevada’s 4th congressional district ahead of the June 9 primaries and November general election. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+2 and receives “Likely Democratic” ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Horsford secured 52.7 percent in 2024, and forecasters note the seat draws little national attention despite a narrow presidential margin that year. Multiple Republican primary candidates are competing but lack the visibility or resources to shift the race into competitive territory. These structural factors, including incumbency and partisan lean, underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateNV-04 House Election Winner
NV-04 House Election Winner
BAGO
BAGO
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
90%
Republican Party
14%
BAGO
BAGO
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$827 Vol.
90%
Republican Party
$605 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Steven Horsford faces minimal primary opposition in Nevada’s 4th congressional district ahead of the June 9 primaries and November general election. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+2 and receives “Likely Democratic” ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Horsford secured 52.7 percent in 2024, and forecasters note the seat draws little national attention despite a narrow presidential margin that year. Multiple Republican primary candidates are competing but lack the visibility or resources to shift the race into competitive territory. These structural factors, including incumbency and partisan lean, underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Binuksan ang Market: Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
Volume
$1,432Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Steven Horsford faces minimal primary opposition in Nevada’s 4th congressional district ahead of the June 9 primaries and November general election. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+2 and receives “Likely Democratic” ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Horsford secured 52.7 percent in 2024, and forecasters note the seat draws little national attention despite a narrow presidential margin that year. Multiple Republican primary candidates are competing but lack the visibility or resources to shift the race into competitive territory. These structural factors, including incumbency and partisan lean, underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$1,432Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Representative Steven Horsford faces minimal primary opposition in Nevada’s 4th congressional district ahead of the June 9 primaries and November general election. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+2 and receives “Likely Democratic” ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Horsford secured 52.7 percent in 2024, and forecasters note the seat draws little national attention despite a narrow presidential margin that year. Multiple Republican primary candidates are competing but lack the visibility or resources to shift the race into competitive territory. These structural factors, including incumbency and partisan lean, underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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