Incumbent Susie Lee holds a commanding position in Nevada’s 3rd Congressional District, a Las Vegas-area swing seat with a D+1 partisan lean where she has won recent general elections by narrow margins. Her decisive primary victory, substantial fundraising edge, and consistent support from forecasters rating the race Lean Democratic underpin trader consensus around 93 percent. Republican nominee Marty O’Donnell, backed by a Trump endorsement and comparable campaign resources, has narrowed the gap from prior cycles but faces structural headwinds in a district that has favored the Democratic incumbent since 2018. Late developments such as shifts in national turnout, gubernatorial coattails, or unexpected campaign events remain the primary variables that could still alter the outcome before November.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateSusie Lee (D)
94%
Martin O'Donnell (R)
6%
Susie Lee (D)
94%
Martin O'Donnell (R)
6%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Binuksan ang Market: Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Susie Lee holds a commanding position in Nevada’s 3rd Congressional District, a Las Vegas-area swing seat with a D+1 partisan lean where she has won recent general elections by narrow margins. Her decisive primary victory, substantial fundraising edge, and consistent support from forecasters rating the race Lean Democratic underpin trader consensus around 93 percent. Republican nominee Marty O’Donnell, backed by a Trump endorsement and comparable campaign resources, has narrowed the gap from prior cycles but faces structural headwinds in a district that has favored the Democratic incumbent since 2018. Late developments such as shifts in national turnout, gubernatorial coattails, or unexpected campaign events remain the primary variables that could still alter the outcome before November.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update



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