Skip to main content
icon for Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Starmer or Petro)
Heopolitika·UK Labour Leadership

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Starmer or Petro)

icon for Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Starmer or Petro)
Heopolitika·UK Labour Leadership

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Starmer or Petro)

Dec 31

Dec 31

None before 2027 41%

Netanyahu - Israel PM 27%

Díaz-Canel - Cuba President 7.3%

Sánchez - Spanish PM 3.7%

Polymarket

$167,196 Vol.

None before 2027 41%

Netanyahu - Israel PM 27%

Díaz-Canel - Cuba President 7.3%

Sánchez - Spanish PM 3.7%

Polymarket

$167,196 Vol.

None before 2027

$59,875 Vol.

41%

Netanyahu - Israel PM

$10,332 Vol.

27%

Díaz-Canel - Cuba President

$5,745 Vol.

7%

Sánchez - Spanish PM

$4,137 Vol.

4%

Xi - General Secretary of the CCP

$6,108 Vol.

3%

Abbas - President of Palestine

$4,326 Vol.

3%

Macron - France President

$6,423 Vol.

3%

Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President

$8,275 Vol.

2%

Zelenskyy - Ukraine President

$4,879 Vol.

2%

Lula da Silva - Brazil President

$5,003 Vol.

2%

Trump - USA President

$3,515 Vol.

1%

Putin - Russia President

$5,172 Vol.

1%

Lecornu - France PM

$5,600 Vol.

1%

Merz - German Chancellor

$3,914 Vol.

1%

Takaichi - Japan PM

$4,051 Vol.

1%

Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea

$3,739 Vol.

1%

Newsom - California Governor

$3,416 Vol.

<1%

Erdoğan - Türkiye President

$4,901 Vol.

<1%

Milei - Argentina President

$3,241 Vol.

<1%

Sheinbaum - Mexico President

$5,052 Vol.

<1%

Albanese - Australia PM

$4,704 Vol.

<1%

al-Sharaa - Syria President

$4,788 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count. Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market. If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Netanyahu leads removal odds at 26.5% due to Israel's scheduled October 2026 legislative elections, where his Likud-led coalition trails in polls amid coalition tensions and opposition gains, creating a clear near-term path to potential ouster. Sánchez trails at 4.0% amid ongoing corruption probes targeting his family and party, though Spain's government has ruled out early elections before the 2027 term end. Díaz-Canel sits at 7.3% amid Cuba's severe fuel shortages and U.S. sanctions-driven economic strain, yet one-party institutions show resilience with no confirmed leadership shift. The 40.5% market on no removals before 2027 reflects trader consensus on stability for most other listed figures absent imminent elections or acute institutional challenges.

This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.

An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.

Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.

Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.

If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$167,196
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jun 30, 2026, 10:16 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count. Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market. If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count. Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market. If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Netanyahu leads removal odds at 26.5% due to Israel's scheduled October 2026 legislative elections, where his Likud-led coalition trails in polls amid coalition tensions and opposition gains, creating a clear near-term path to potential ouster. Sánchez trails at 4.0% amid ongoing corruption probes targeting his family and party, though Spain's government has ruled out early elections before the 2027 term end. Díaz-Canel sits at 7.3% amid Cuba's severe fuel shortages and U.S. sanctions-driven economic strain, yet one-party institutions show resilience with no confirmed leadership shift. The 40.5% market on no removals before 2027 reflects trader consensus on stability for most other listed figures absent imminent elections or acute institutional challenges.

This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.

An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.

Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.

Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.

If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$167,196
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jun 30, 2026, 10:16 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count. Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market. If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Kaugnay

icon for Mapapatalsik ba si Trump bilang Pangulo bago ang 2027?

Mapapatalsik ba si Trump bilang Pangulo bago ang 2027?

7%
Oo
icon for Will Chris Bryant be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet?

Will Chris Bryant be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet?

40%
icon for Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?

Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?

13%

Mag-ingat sa mga external link.

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Starmer or Petro)" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 22 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "None before 2027" sa 41%, sinusundan ng "Netanyahu - Israel PM" sa 27%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 41¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 41% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Starmer or Petro)" ay naka-generate ng $167.2K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Jun 30, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Starmer or Petro)," i-browse ang 22 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Starmer or Petro)" ay "None before 2027" sa 41%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 41% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Netanyahu - Israel PM" sa 27%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Starmer or Petro)" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.