Skip to main content

Para mag-trade sa US, pumunta sa polymarket.us

icon for Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?
Teknolohiya·AI

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?

icon for Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?
Teknolohiya·AI

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?

Oct 1

Oct 1

No release by September 30 69%

September 30 5.5%

September 23 3.8%

September 22 2.4%

Polymarket

$62,401 Vol.

No release by September 30 69%

September 30 5.5%

September 23 3.8%

September 22 2.4%

Polymarket

$62,401 Vol.

September 6

$307 Vol.

<1%

September 7

$406 Vol.

2%

September 8

$294 Vol.

<1%

September 9

$302 Vol.

<1%

September 10

$302 Vol.

<1%

September 11

$298 Vol.

1%

September 12

$302 Vol.

1%

September 13

$302 Vol.

<1%

September 14

$307 Vol.

<1%

September 15

$542 Vol.

2%

September 16

$538 Vol.

1%

September 17

$542 Vol.

1%

September 18

$305 Vol.

<1%

September 19

$302 Vol.

1%

September 20

$302 Vol.

1%

September 21

$302 Vol.

1%

September 22

$579 Vol.

2%

September 23

$449 Vol.

4%

September 24

$589 Vol.

1%

September 25

$298 Vol.

1%

September 26

$300 Vol.

1%

September 27

$302 Vol.

1%

September 28

$480 Vol.

<1%

September 29

$370 Vol.

1%

September 30

$682 Vol.

6%

No release by September 30

$49,440 Vol.

69%

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Traders assign a 69% implied probability to no Gemini Pro release by September 30 because Google has repeatedly delayed its flagship 3.5 Pro model since the May I/O teaser, citing shortfalls in internal coding and agentic benchmarks that Flash variants have met more readily. Recent releases of Gemini 3.8 Flash and related variants in early September underscore the company's focus on iterative, lower-cost models rather than the frontier Pro tier, while pretraining on the more ambitious Gemini 4 has already begun. This pattern of quality-over-timeline caution, amid competition from OpenAI and Anthropic, leaves the Pro model still limited to partner testing with no firm public availability date.

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.

Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.

Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.

A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$62,401
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 1, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 17, 2026, 7:31 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Traders assign a 69% implied probability to no Gemini Pro release by September 30 because Google has repeatedly delayed its flagship 3.5 Pro model since the May I/O teaser, citing shortfalls in internal coding and agentic benchmarks that Flash variants have met more readily. Recent releases of Gemini 3.8 Flash and related variants in early September underscore the company's focus on iterative, lower-cost models rather than the frontier Pro tier, while pretraining on the more ambitious Gemini 4 has already begun. This pattern of quality-over-timeline caution, amid competition from OpenAI and Anthropic, leaves the Pro model still limited to partner testing with no firm public availability date.

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.

Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.

Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.

A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$62,401
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 1, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 17, 2026, 7:31 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Kaugnay

icon for Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?

Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?

26%
icon for Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?

74%
icon for Next Google Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released by November 30, 2026?

Next Google Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released by November 30, 2026?

64%

Mag-ingat sa mga external link.

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 31 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "No release by September 30" sa 69%, sinusundan ng "September 30" sa 6%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 69¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 69% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?" ay naka-generate ng $62.4K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Aug 17, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?," i-browse ang 31 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?" ay "No release by September 30" sa 69%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 69% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "September 30" sa 6%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.