Skip to main content

Para mag-trade sa US, pumunta sa polymarket.us

icon for Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?
Teknolohiya·AI

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?

icon for Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?
Teknolohiya·AI

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?

Ended: Sep 1

Oct 1

Ended: Sep 1

Oct 1

No release by August 31 100.0%

On or prior to August 1 1%

August 2 <1%

August 3 <1%

Polymarket

$322,940 Vol.

No release by August 31 100.0%

On or prior to August 1 1%

August 2 <1%

August 3 <1%

Polymarket

$322,940 Vol.

On or prior to August 1

$44 Vol.

No

August 2

$479 Vol.

No

August 3

$496 Vol.

No

August 4

$4,561 Vol.

No

August 5

$4,681 Vol.

No

August 6

$21,718 Vol.

No

August 7

$10,778 Vol.

No

August 8

$2,832 Vol.

No

August 9

$2,945 Vol.

No

August 10

$66,670 Vol.

No

August 11

$9,829 Vol.

No

August 12

$10,662 Vol.

No

August 13

$8,776 Vol.

No

August 14

$4,132 Vol.

No

August 15

$2,979 Vol.

No

August 16

$2,611 Vol.

No

August 17

$3,756 Vol.

No

August 18

$3,999 Vol.

No

August 19

$3,231 Vol.

No

August 20

$2,965 Vol.

No

August 21

$2,366 Vol.

No

August 22

$2,764 Vol.

No

August 23

$3,523 Vol.

No

August 24

$6,472 Vol.

No

August 25

$6,957 Vol.

No

August 26

$5,109 Vol.

No

August 27

$10,504 Vol.

No

August 28

$4,847 Vol.

No

August 29

$7,797 Vol.

No

August 30

$4,276 Vol.

No

August 31

$10,196 Vol.

No

No release by August 31

$89,987 Vol.

Yes

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's repeated delays on the flagship Gemini 3.5 Pro model, originally promised for June at I/O 2026 and later targeted for July, have left it stalled in partner testing with persistent shortfalls in coding and agentic performance. Traders have seen Google instead ship a rapid cadence of Flash variants, including Gemini 3.7 Flash in mid-August, while pre-training has already begun on the next-generation Gemini 4. This pattern of missed internal milestones and a shift toward faster, cheaper models has produced near-certain market-implied odds against any Pro release by the August 31 deadline. A last-minute general availability announcement or surprise partner rollout could still alter outcomes, though recent changelog and earnings commentary show no signs of imminent resolution.

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.

Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.

Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.

A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$322,940
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 1, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jul 29, 2026, 3:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Na-propose ang outcome: No

Walang dispute

Pinal na outcome: No

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's repeated delays on the flagship Gemini 3.5 Pro model, originally promised for June at I/O 2026 and later targeted for July, have left it stalled in partner testing with persistent shortfalls in coding and agentic performance. Traders have seen Google instead ship a rapid cadence of Flash variants, including Gemini 3.7 Flash in mid-August, while pre-training has already begun on the next-generation Gemini 4. This pattern of missed internal milestones and a shift toward faster, cheaper models has produced near-certain market-implied odds against any Pro release by the August 31 deadline. A last-minute general availability announcement or surprise partner rollout could still alter outcomes, though recent changelog and earnings commentary show no signs of imminent resolution.

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.

Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.

Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.

A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$322,940
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 1, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jul 29, 2026, 3:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Na-propose ang outcome: No

Walang dispute

Pinal na outcome: No

Kaugnay

icon for Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?

Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?

87%
icon for Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?

Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?

26%
icon for Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?

76%

Mag-ingat sa mga external link.

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 32 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "No release by August 31" sa 100%, sinusundan ng "On or prior to August 1" sa 0%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 100¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 100% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?" ay naka-generate ng $322.9K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Jul 29, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?," i-browse ang 32 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?" ay "No release by August 31" sa 100%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 100% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "On or prior to August 1" sa 0%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.