Anthropic’s rapid iteration on its Claude family of large language models drives current trader sentiment around the next Sonnet release. Claude Sonnet 5 launched June 30, 2026, as the most agentic Sonnet yet, delivering near-Opus coding, tool use, and computer-use performance at mid-tier pricing and speed while becoming the default across plans. This followed Sonnet 4.6 in February and 4.5 in September 2025, reflecting a compressed cadence amid competition from OpenAI and Google models. Traders weigh Anthropic’s history of safety reviews and deprecations against expectations for a Sonnet 5 update or 6 by late 2026, with upcoming earnings, partner integrations, and benchmark results likely to shift implied probabilities on release timing.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateNext Claude Sonnet released by...?
Next Claude Sonnet released by...?
BAGO
Aug 31, 2026
August 31
9%
October 31
75%
December 31
91%
$3,734 Vol.
August 31
$562 Vol.
9%
October 31
$237 Vol.
75%
December 31
$2,935 Vol.
91%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s rapid iteration on its Claude family of large language models drives current trader sentiment around the next Sonnet release. Claude Sonnet 5 launched June 30, 2026, as the most agentic Sonnet yet, delivering near-Opus coding, tool use, and computer-use performance at mid-tier pricing and speed while becoming the default across plans. This followed Sonnet 4.6 in February and 4.5 in September 2025, reflecting a compressed cadence amid competition from OpenAI and Google models. Traders weigh Anthropic’s history of safety reviews and deprecations against expectations for a Sonnet 5 update or 6 by late 2026, with upcoming earnings, partner integrations, and benchmark results likely to shift implied probabilities on release timing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Binuksan ang Market: Jul 1, 2026, 6:46 PM ET
Volume
$3,734Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jul 1, 2026, 6:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s rapid iteration on its Claude family of large language models drives current trader sentiment around the next Sonnet release. Claude Sonnet 5 launched June 30, 2026, as the most agentic Sonnet yet, delivering near-Opus coding, tool use, and computer-use performance at mid-tier pricing and speed while becoming the default across plans. This followed Sonnet 4.6 in February and 4.5 in September 2025, reflecting a compressed cadence amid competition from OpenAI and Google models. Traders weigh Anthropic’s history of safety reviews and deprecations against expectations for a Sonnet 5 update or 6 by late 2026, with upcoming earnings, partner integrations, and benchmark results likely to shift implied probabilities on release timing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$3,734Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jul 1, 2026, 6:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s rapid iteration on its Claude family of large language models drives current trader sentiment around the next Sonnet release. Claude Sonnet 5 launched June 30, 2026, as the most agentic Sonnet yet, delivering near-Opus coding, tool use, and computer-use performance at mid-tier pricing and speed while becoming the default across plans. This followed Sonnet 4.6 in February and 4.5 in September 2025, reflecting a compressed cadence amid competition from OpenAI and Google models. Traders weigh Anthropic’s history of safety reviews and deprecations against expectations for a Sonnet 5 update or 6 by late 2026, with upcoming earnings, partner integrations, and benchmark results likely to shift implied probabilities on release timing.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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