Incumbent Democratic Senator Ed Markey maintains a commanding lead in the Massachusetts U.S. Senate race, driving trader consensus to 94.5% for a Democratic victory amid the state's entrenched partisan leanings—only two Republicans elected to the Senate since 1961—and Markey's strong incumbency advantage after winning 66% in 2020. A Suffolk/Globe poll from April 9-13 showed Markey at 47% against primary challenger Rep. Seth Moulton's 30% among likely Democratic voters, with the September 1 primary poised to select the nominee in this deep-blue battleground where general election polls like a recent UNH survey project Markey leading hypothetical Republican John Deaton 56%. Scenarios challenging this include a Markey health issue at age 80, primary upset, or national Republican midterm wave flipping turnout dynamics, though historical base rates for GOP pickups here remain near-zero.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateMassachusetts Senate Election Winner
Massachusetts Senate Election Winner
$12,304 Vol.
$12,304 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
95%
Republican
5%
$12,304 Vol.
$12,304 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$7,735 Vol.
95%
Republican
$4,570 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Senator Ed Markey maintains a commanding lead in the Massachusetts U.S. Senate race, driving trader consensus to 94.5% for a Democratic victory amid the state's entrenched partisan leanings—only two Republicans elected to the Senate since 1961—and Markey's strong incumbency advantage after winning 66% in 2020. A Suffolk/Globe poll from April 9-13 showed Markey at 47% against primary challenger Rep. Seth Moulton's 30% among likely Democratic voters, with the September 1 primary poised to select the nominee in this deep-blue battleground where general election polls like a recent UNH survey project Markey leading hypothetical Republican John Deaton 56%. Scenarios challenging this include a Markey health issue at age 80, primary upset, or national Republican midterm wave flipping turnout dynamics, though historical base rates for GOP pickups here remain near-zero.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Binuksan ang Market: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Volume
$12,304Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Senator Ed Markey maintains a commanding lead in the Massachusetts U.S. Senate race, driving trader consensus to 94.5% for a Democratic victory amid the state's entrenched partisan leanings—only two Republicans elected to the Senate since 1961—and Markey's strong incumbency advantage after winning 66% in 2020. A Suffolk/Globe poll from April 9-13 showed Markey at 47% against primary challenger Rep. Seth Moulton's 30% among likely Democratic voters, with the September 1 primary poised to select the nominee in this deep-blue battleground where general election polls like a recent UNH survey project Markey leading hypothetical Republican John Deaton 56%. Scenarios challenging this include a Markey health issue at age 80, primary upset, or national Republican midterm wave flipping turnout dynamics, though historical base rates for GOP pickups here remain near-zero.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$12,304Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Senator Ed Markey maintains a commanding lead in the Massachusetts U.S. Senate race, driving trader consensus to 94.5% for a Democratic victory amid the state's entrenched partisan leanings—only two Republicans elected to the Senate since 1961—and Markey's strong incumbency advantage after winning 66% in 2020. A Suffolk/Globe poll from April 9-13 showed Markey at 47% against primary challenger Rep. Seth Moulton's 30% among likely Democratic voters, with the September 1 primary poised to select the nominee in this deep-blue battleground where general election polls like a recent UNH survey project Markey leading hypothetical Republican John Deaton 56%. Scenarios challenging this include a Markey health issue at age 80, primary upset, or national Republican midterm wave flipping turnout dynamics, though historical base rates for GOP pickups here remain near-zero.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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