US federal prosecutors unsealed a superseding indictment against Nicolás Maduro in January 2026 charging narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation conspiracy, and weapons offenses tied to alleged state-sponsored trafficking networks. Maduro and his wife entered not guilty pleas, with a June 2027 trial date set in July 2026 and upcoming deadlines for immunity-based dismissal motions. Defense arguments center on head-of-state and conduct immunity for acts performed in official capacity, alongside questions over the legality of the January 2026 US operation that led to his capture. These procedural hurdles, combined with the extended timeline before any verdict and historical patterns in complex extraterritorial cases, underpin trader expectations reflected in the 74% probability against conviction on every count.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update26% tsansa
$126,232 Vol.
$126,232 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
26% tsansa
$126,232 Vol.
$126,232 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.US federal prosecutors unsealed a superseding indictment against Nicolás Maduro in January 2026 charging narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation conspiracy, and weapons offenses tied to alleged state-sponsored trafficking networks. Maduro and his wife entered not guilty pleas, with a June 2027 trial date set in July 2026 and upcoming deadlines for immunity-based dismissal motions. Defense arguments center on head-of-state and conduct immunity for acts performed in official capacity, alongside questions over the legality of the January 2026 US operation that led to his capture. These procedural hurdles, combined with the extended timeline before any verdict and historical patterns in complex extraterritorial cases, underpin trader expectations reflected in the 74% probability against conviction on every count.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ET
Volume
$126,232Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.US federal prosecutors unsealed a superseding indictment against Nicolás Maduro in January 2026 charging narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation conspiracy, and weapons offenses tied to alleged state-sponsored trafficking networks. Maduro and his wife entered not guilty pleas, with a June 2027 trial date set in July 2026 and upcoming deadlines for immunity-based dismissal motions. Defense arguments center on head-of-state and conduct immunity for acts performed in official capacity, alongside questions over the legality of the January 2026 US operation that led to his capture. These procedural hurdles, combined with the extended timeline before any verdict and historical patterns in complex extraterritorial cases, underpin trader expectations reflected in the 74% probability against conviction on every count.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$126,232Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US federal prosecutors unsealed a superseding indictment against Nicolás Maduro in January 2026 charging narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation conspiracy, and weapons offenses tied to alleged state-sponsored trafficking networks. Maduro and his wife entered not guilty pleas, with a June 2027 trial date set in July 2026 and upcoming deadlines for immunity-based dismissal motions. Defense arguments center on head-of-state and conduct immunity for acts performed in official capacity, alongside questions over the legality of the January 2026 US operation that led to his capture. These procedural hurdles, combined with the extended timeline before any verdict and historical patterns in complex extraterritorial cases, underpin trader expectations reflected in the 74% probability against conviction on every count.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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