Traders see Khamenei's official X accounts posting at irregular, event-driven intervals rather than on any fixed schedule, with recent activity limited to funeral commemorations and archival statements in early July 2026. The similar probabilities across ranges under 60 posts reflect this unpredictability in the post-assassination period, where volume hinges on whether managers release additional material tied to ongoing regional developments or successor-related messaging. Separation could occur from scheduled anniversaries, diplomatic announcements, or shifts in Iranian state media priorities within the July 21–28 window, as the accounts have historically clustered output around major institutional or conflict-related moments rather than maintaining steady cadence.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateKhamenei # posts July 21 - July 28, 2026?
Khamenei # posts July 21 - July 28, 2026?
<5 100.0%
5-9 <1%
10-14 <1%
15-19 <1%
$18,603 Vol.
$18,603 Vol.
Jul 28, 2026
<5
Yes
5-9
No
10-14
No
15-19
No
20-24
No
25-29
No
30-34
No
35-39
No
40-44
No
45-49
No
50-54
No
55-59
No
60+
No
<5 100.0%
5-9 <1%
10-14 <1%
15-19 <1%
$18,603 Vol.
$18,603 Vol.
Jul 28, 2026
<5
$8,141 Vol.
Yes
5-9
$2,690 Vol.
No
10-14
$1,461 Vol.
No
15-19
$1,276 Vol.
No
20-24
$1,477 Vol.
No
25-29
$1,072 Vol.
No
30-34
$507 Vol.
No
35-39
$168 Vol.
No
40-44
$331 Vol.
No
45-49
$352 Vol.
No
50-54
$362 Vol.
No
55-59
$373 Vol.
No
60+
$392 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between July 21, 12:00 PM ET and July 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see Khamenei's official X accounts posting at irregular, event-driven intervals rather than on any fixed schedule, with recent activity limited to funeral commemorations and archival statements in early July 2026. The similar probabilities across ranges under 60 posts reflect this unpredictability in the post-assassination period, where volume hinges on whether managers release additional material tied to ongoing regional developments or successor-related messaging. Separation could occur from scheduled anniversaries, diplomatic announcements, or shifts in Iranian state media priorities within the July 21–28 window, as the accounts have historically clustered output around major institutional or conflict-related moments rather than maintaining steady cadence.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between July 21, 12:00 PM ET and July 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Binuksan ang Market: Jul 18, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$18,603Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jul 28, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jul 18, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: Yes
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: Yes
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between July 21, 12:00 PM ET and July 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see Khamenei's official X accounts posting at irregular, event-driven intervals rather than on any fixed schedule, with recent activity limited to funeral commemorations and archival statements in early July 2026. The similar probabilities across ranges under 60 posts reflect this unpredictability in the post-assassination period, where volume hinges on whether managers release additional material tied to ongoing regional developments or successor-related messaging. Separation could occur from scheduled anniversaries, diplomatic announcements, or shifts in Iranian state media priorities within the July 21–28 window, as the accounts have historically clustered output around major institutional or conflict-related moments rather than maintaining steady cadence.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between July 21, 12:00 PM ET and July 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$18,603Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jul 28, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jul 18, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: Yes
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: Yes
Traders see Khamenei's official X accounts posting at irregular, event-driven intervals rather than on any fixed schedule, with recent activity limited to funeral commemorations and archival statements in early July 2026. The similar probabilities across ranges under 60 posts reflect this unpredictability in the post-assassination period, where volume hinges on whether managers release additional material tied to ongoing regional developments or successor-related messaging. Separation could occur from scheduled anniversaries, diplomatic announcements, or shifts in Iranian state media priorities within the July 21–28 window, as the accounts have historically clustered output around major institutional or conflict-related moments rather than maintaining steady cadence.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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