**The official @khamenei_ir account, maintained as statements from the martyred Ali Khamenei, maintains a low-volume posting pattern focused on occasional official releases, commemorations, and translated remarks rather than daily or high-frequency updates.** This established rhythm has produced trader consensus around fewer than five posts in the Aug 11–18 window. Mojtaba Khamenei, selected as supreme leader in March 2026 following his father’s death, operates separate accounts and has focused recent activity on military appointments and regional messaging without shifting the flagship account’s cadence. Historical base rates for the handle show sparse output outside major crises, reinforcing the current pricing. A sudden escalation in Iran–Israel–U.S. tensions, a high-profile domestic announcement, or a shift in account management could increase volume, but no such catalyst has materialized in the resolution period.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateKhamenei # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026?
Khamenei # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026?
<5 100.0%
5-9 <1%
10-14 <1%
15-19 <1%
$17,735 Vol.
$17,735 Vol.
<5
Yes
5-9
No
10-14
No
15-19
No
20-24
No
25-29
No
30-34
No
35-39
No
40-44
No
45-49
No
50-54
No
55-59
No
60+
No
<5 100.0%
5-9 <1%
10-14 <1%
15-19 <1%
$17,735 Vol.
$17,735 Vol.
<5
Yes
5-9
No
10-14
No
15-19
No
20-24
No
25-29
No
30-34
No
35-39
No
40-44
No
45-49
No
50-54
No
55-59
No
60+
No
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: Yes
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: Yes
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: Yes
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: Yes
**The official @khamenei_ir account, maintained as statements from the martyred Ali Khamenei, maintains a low-volume posting pattern focused on occasional official releases, commemorations, and translated remarks rather than daily or high-frequency updates.** This established rhythm has produced trader consensus around fewer than five posts in the Aug 11–18 window. Mojtaba Khamenei, selected as supreme leader in March 2026 following his father’s death, operates separate accounts and has focused recent activity on military appointments and regional messaging without shifting the flagship account’s cadence. Historical base rates for the handle show sparse output outside major crises, reinforcing the current pricing. A sudden escalation in Iran–Israel–U.S. tensions, a high-profile domestic announcement, or a shift in account management could increase volume, but no such catalyst has materialized in the resolution period.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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