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Italian Referendum

icon for Italian Referendum

Italian Referendum

$223,411 Vol.

May 9, 2025
Polymarket

$223,411 Vol.

Polymarket

Citizenship Residency Requirement

$58,502 Vol.

No

Increasing Protections

$31,010 Vol.

No

Small businesses

$62,986 Vol.

No

Stable Work

$34,043 Vol.

No

Safe Work

$36,870 Vol.

No

This market refers to the referendum titled “Italian Citizenship: Reducing the required legal residence time in Italy for foreign non-EU adults applying for Italian citizenship from 10 years to 5 years.” (see: https://www.esteri.it/en/servizi-consolari-e-visti/italiani-all-estero/votoestero/elezionipolitiche/referendum-abrogativi-2025/) This market will resolve to "Yes" if the referendum passes with the requisite voter turnout threshold met. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."​ If the referendum is permanently canceled or delayed beyond December 31, 2025 ET this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market refers to the referendum titled “Italian Citizenship: Contract of employment with increasing protections – regulation of unlawful dismissals: Abolition." (see: https://www.esteri.it/en/servizi-consolari-e-visti/italiani-all-estero/votoestero/elezionipolitiche/referendum-abrogativi-2025/) This market will resolve to "Yes" if the referendum passes with the requisite voter turnout threshold met. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."​ If the referendum is permanently canceled or delayed beyond December 31, 2025 ET this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market refers to the referendum titled “Small businesses – dismissals and related compensation: Partial abolition." (see: https://www.esteri.it/en/servizi-consolari-e-visti/italiani-all-estero/votoestero/elezionipolitiche/referendum-abrogativi-2025/) This market will resolve to "Yes" if the referendum passes with the requisite voter turnout threshold met. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."​ If the referendum is permanently canceled or delayed beyond December 31, 2025 ET this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market refers to the referendum titled “Partial abolition of rules regarding the imposition of term limits on employment contracts, maximum duration, and conditions for extensions and renewals." (see: https://www.esteri.it/en/servizi-consolari-e-visti/italiani-all-estero/votoestero/elezionipolitiche/referendum-abrogativi-2025/) This market will resolve to "Yes" if the referendum passes with the requisite voter turnout threshold met. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."​ If the referendum is permanently canceled or delayed beyond December 31, 2025 ET this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market refers to the referendum titled “Exclusion of solidary responsibility of the client, contractor, and subcontractor for injuries suffered by employees of contracting or subcontracting companies, resulting from the specific risks of the activity of the contracting or subcontracting companies: Abolition." (see: https://www.esteri.it/en/servizi-consolari-e-visti/italiani-all-estero/votoestero/elezionipolitiche/referendum-abrogativi-2025/) This market will resolve to "Yes" if the referendum passes with the requisite voter turnout threshold met. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."​ If the referendum is permanently canceled or delayed beyond December 31, 2025 ET this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

This market refers to the referendum titled “Italian Citizenship: Reducing the required legal residence time in Italy for foreign non-EU adults applying for Italian citizenship from 10 years to 5 years.” (see: https://www.esteri.it/en/servizi-consolari-e-visti/italiani-all-estero/votoestero/elezionipolitiche/referendum-abrogativi-2025/)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the referendum passes with the requisite voter turnout threshold met. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."​

If the referendum is permanently canceled or delayed beyond December 31, 2025 ET this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$223,411
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2025
Binuksan ang Market
May 2, 2025, 11:30 AM ET
This market refers to the referendum titled “Italian Citizenship: Reducing the required legal residence time in Italy for foreign non-EU adults applying for Italian citizenship from 10 years to 5 years.” (see: https://www.esteri.it/en/servizi-consolari-e-visti/italiani-all-estero/votoestero/elezionipolitiche/referendum-abrogativi-2025/) This market will resolve to "Yes" if the referendum passes with the requisite voter turnout threshold met. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."​ If the referendum is permanently canceled or delayed beyond December 31, 2025 ET this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Na-propose ang outcome: No

Walang dispute

Pinal na outcome: No

This market refers to the referendum titled “Italian Citizenship: Reducing the required legal residence time in Italy for foreign non-EU adults applying for Italian citizenship from 10 years to 5 years.” (see: https://www.esteri.it/en/servizi-consolari-e-visti/italiani-all-estero/votoestero/elezionipolitiche/referendum-abrogativi-2025/) This market will resolve to "Yes" if the referendum passes with the requisite voter turnout threshold met. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."​ If the referendum is permanently canceled or delayed beyond December 31, 2025 ET this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market refers to the referendum titled “Italian Citizenship: Contract of employment with increasing protections – regulation of unlawful dismissals: Abolition." (see: https://www.esteri.it/en/servizi-consolari-e-visti/italiani-all-estero/votoestero/elezionipolitiche/referendum-abrogativi-2025/) This market will resolve to "Yes" if the referendum passes with the requisite voter turnout threshold met. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."​ If the referendum is permanently canceled or delayed beyond December 31, 2025 ET this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market refers to the referendum titled “Small businesses – dismissals and related compensation: Partial abolition." (see: https://www.esteri.it/en/servizi-consolari-e-visti/italiani-all-estero/votoestero/elezionipolitiche/referendum-abrogativi-2025/) This market will resolve to "Yes" if the referendum passes with the requisite voter turnout threshold met. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."​ If the referendum is permanently canceled or delayed beyond December 31, 2025 ET this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market refers to the referendum titled “Partial abolition of rules regarding the imposition of term limits on employment contracts, maximum duration, and conditions for extensions and renewals." (see: https://www.esteri.it/en/servizi-consolari-e-visti/italiani-all-estero/votoestero/elezionipolitiche/referendum-abrogativi-2025/) This market will resolve to "Yes" if the referendum passes with the requisite voter turnout threshold met. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."​ If the referendum is permanently canceled or delayed beyond December 31, 2025 ET this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market refers to the referendum titled “Exclusion of solidary responsibility of the client, contractor, and subcontractor for injuries suffered by employees of contracting or subcontracting companies, resulting from the specific risks of the activity of the contracting or subcontracting companies: Abolition." (see: https://www.esteri.it/en/servizi-consolari-e-visti/italiani-all-estero/votoestero/elezionipolitiche/referendum-abrogativi-2025/) This market will resolve to "Yes" if the referendum passes with the requisite voter turnout threshold met. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."​ If the referendum is permanently canceled or delayed beyond December 31, 2025 ET this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

This market refers to the referendum titled “Italian Citizenship: Reducing the required legal residence time in Italy for foreign non-EU adults applying for Italian citizenship from 10 years to 5 years.” (see: https://www.esteri.it/en/servizi-consolari-e-visti/italiani-all-estero/votoestero/elezionipolitiche/referendum-abrogativi-2025/)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the referendum passes with the requisite voter turnout threshold met. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."​

If the referendum is permanently canceled or delayed beyond December 31, 2025 ET this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$223,411
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2025
Binuksan ang Market
May 2, 2025, 11:30 AM ET
This market refers to the referendum titled “Italian Citizenship: Reducing the required legal residence time in Italy for foreign non-EU adults applying for Italian citizenship from 10 years to 5 years.” (see: https://www.esteri.it/en/servizi-consolari-e-visti/italiani-all-estero/votoestero/elezionipolitiche/referendum-abrogativi-2025/) This market will resolve to "Yes" if the referendum passes with the requisite voter turnout threshold met. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."​ If the referendum is permanently canceled or delayed beyond December 31, 2025 ET this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Na-propose ang outcome: No

Walang dispute

Pinal na outcome: No

Mag-ingat sa mga external link.

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Italian Referendum" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 5 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Citizenship Residency Requirement" sa 0%, sinusundan ng "Increasing Protections" sa 0%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 0¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 0% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Italian Referendum" ay naka-generate ng $223.4K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong May 2, 2025. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Italian Referendum," i-browse ang 5 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Isa itong wide-open market. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna para sa "Italian Referendum" ay "Citizenship Residency Requirement" sa 0% lang, na may "Increasing Protections" na malapit sa likod sa 0%. Walang outcome na may malakas na mayorya, kaya nakikita ito ng mga trader bilang highly uncertain, na maaaring magbigay ng mga kakaibang trading opportunity. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time, kaya i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para panoorin kung paano nag-e-evolve ang probabilities.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Italian Referendum" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.