Recent polling averages place Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party in the low-to-mid 20s, reflecting a competitive contest with Likud amid a fragmented Knesset field 13 days before the October 27 vote. Both the Netanyahu-aligned bloc and the main opposition grouping remain several seats short of the 61-seat majority threshold, with small parties hovering near the 3.25 percent entry bar adding volatility to final allocations. Trader consensus across the listed seat ranges aligns with this narrow band because repeated surveys show Yashar and Likud trading narrow leads, while turnout patterns among key voting blocs and last-minute shifts among undecided or threshold-adjacent voters could still alter the outcome. Upcoming final polls and election-day mobilization will determine whether Yashar settles in the 22-25 range or moves higher or lower.