**Ra'am's polling has remained steady at five Knesset seats in averages from multiple outlets through early October, translating to roughly 4–4.75% of the national vote and aligning with the market's leading outcome.** This consistency reflects the party's established Arab-Israeli voter base, Mansour Abbas's pragmatic positioning, and the inclusion of a Jewish candidate on its list. The Central Elections Committee's late-September disqualification attempt, later overturned unanimously by the Supreme Court on October 2, introduced temporary uncertainty but did not shift recent survey results. With the October 27 election three weeks away, trader pricing also factors in potential Arab turnout variability, competition from the Joint List, and the 3.25% threshold, keeping narrower or higher bands as secondary possibilities.