Recent polling averages place Shas at 7–8 Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election, reflecting stable but modest support among Sephardi Haredi voters. This range aligns with the market’s near-even split between the 6–7 and 8–9 outcomes. Primary drivers include competition for religious votes from United Torah Judaism and smaller lists, variable Haredi turnout, and the broader contest between Netanyahu-aligned and opposition blocs that has kept overall results fluid. Party leader Aryeh Deri’s slate submission and internal roster adjustments have not produced measurable shifts in surveys. Late campaign developments in turnout or bloc consolidation could still move final results within or beyond the current tight band.