President Donald Trump has not invoked the Insurrection Act during his current term despite repeated public discussions of the 1807 statute as a tool for addressing civil disorder, immigration enforcement, or election-related concerns. In a late September Time interview, he declined to rule out its use around the November 2026 midterms while referencing voter fraud claims and noting that supporters have urged action. Earlier episodes included threats tied to 2026 protests against ICE operations in Minneapolis and other cities, though deployments have instead relied on separate authorities such as 10 U.S.C. § 12406. Trader consensus on Polymarket markets for invocation by December 31, 2026, remains modest, reflecting the absence of qualifying formal action to date alongside legal constraints, institutional pushback, and the political risks of domestic military deployment ahead of elections. Midterm outcomes and any associated unrest could still shift positioning.