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icon for Ilya's next company?

Ilya's next company?

icon for Ilya's next company?

Ilya's next company?

Google/Deepmind 100.0%

Anthropic 100.0%

Apple 100.0%

X 100.0%

Polymarket

$83,262 Vol.

Google/Deepmind 100.0%

Anthropic 100.0%

Apple 100.0%

X 100.0%

Polymarket

$83,262 Vol.

icon for Google/Deepmind

Google/Deepmind

$13,891 Vol.

No

icon for Anthropic

Anthropic

$16,962 Vol.

No

icon for Apple

Apple

$7,487 Vol.

No

icon for X

X

$15,799 Vol.

No

icon for New organization

New organization

$7,754 Vol.

No

icon for Other existing organization

Other existing organization

$9,746 Vol.

No

icon for No announcement in May

No announcement in May

$11,624 Vol.

Yes

On May 14, Ilya Sutskever announced he was leaving OpenAI, and he would share his next endeavor in due time (see https://twitter.com/ilyasut/status/1790517455628198322). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ilya Sutskever announces he is joining Google by May 31, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Note that if Ilya joins a subsidiary of the above company, this market will resolve to "Yes." This market may immediately resolve once Ilya Sutskever announces his new endeavor. The primary resolution source will be statements from Ilya.On May 14, Ilya Sutskever announced he was leaving OpenAI, and he would share his next endeavor in due time (see https://twitter.com/ilyasut/status/1790517455628198322). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ilya Sutskever announces he is joining Anthropic by May 31, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Note that if Ilya joins a subsidiary of the above company, this market will resolve to "Yes." This market may immediately resolve once Ilya Sutskever announces his new endeavor. The primary resolution source will be statements from Ilya.On May 14, Ilya Sutskever announced he was leaving OpenAI, and he would share his next endeavor in due time (see https://twitter.com/ilyasut/status/1790517455628198322). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ilya Sutskever announces he is joining Apple by May 31, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Note that if Ilya joins a subsidiary of the above company, this market will resolve to "Yes." This market may immediately resolve once Ilya Sutskever announces his new endeavor. The primary resolution source will be statements from Ilya.On May 14, Ilya Sutskever announced he was leaving OpenAI, and he would share his next endeavor in due time (see https://twitter.com/ilyasut/status/1790517455628198322). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ilya Sutskever announces he is joining xAI/X by May 31, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Note that if Ilya joins a subsidiary of the above company, this market will resolve to "Yes." This market may immediately resolve once Ilya Sutskever announces his new endeavor. The primary resolution source will be statements from Ilya.On May 14, Ilya Sutskever announced he was leaving OpenAI, and he would share his next endeavor in due time (see https://twitter.com/ilyasut/status/1790517455628198322). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ilya Sutskever announces he is joining or founding a newly created company/organization by May 31, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This market may immediately resolve once Ilya Sutskever announces his new endeavor. On May 14, Ilya Sutskever announced he was leaving OpenAI, and he would share his next endeavor in due time (see https://twitter.com/ilyasut/status/1790517455628198322). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ilya Sutskever announces he is joining another existing company/organization other than Anthropic, Google, X, and Apple by May 31, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source will be statements from Ilya.On May 14, Ilya Sutskever announced he was leaving OpenAI, and he would share his next endeavor in due time (see https://twitter.com/ilyasut/status/1790517455628198322). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ilya Sutskever doesn't announce his future plans by May 31, 11:59 PM ET, or his endeavors do not include joining any company/organization (e.g. If he announces he will be building a cabin in the woods). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This market may immediately resolve once Ilya Sutskever announces his new endeavor.

On May 14, Ilya Sutskever announced he was leaving OpenAI, and he would share his next endeavor in due time (see https://twitter.com/ilyasut/status/1790517455628198322).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ilya Sutskever announces he is joining Google by May 31, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Note that if Ilya joins a subsidiary of the above company, this market will resolve to "Yes." This market may immediately resolve once Ilya Sutskever announces his new endeavor.

The primary resolution source will be statements from Ilya.
Volume
$83,262
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 31, 2024
Binuksan ang Market
May 14, 2024, 7:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
On May 14, Ilya Sutskever announced he was leaving OpenAI, and he would share his next endeavor in due time (see https://twitter.com/ilyasut/status/1790517455628198322). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ilya Sutskever announces he is joining Google by May 31, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Note that if Ilya joins a subsidiary of the above company, this market will resolve to "Yes." This market may immediately resolve once Ilya Sutskever announces his new endeavor. The primary resolution source will be statements from Ilya.

Na-propose ang outcome: No

Walang dispute

Pinal na outcome: No

On May 14, Ilya Sutskever announced he was leaving OpenAI, and he would share his next endeavor in due time (see https://twitter.com/ilyasut/status/1790517455628198322). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ilya Sutskever announces he is joining Google by May 31, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Note that if Ilya joins a subsidiary of the above company, this market will resolve to "Yes." This market may immediately resolve once Ilya Sutskever announces his new endeavor. The primary resolution source will be statements from Ilya.On May 14, Ilya Sutskever announced he was leaving OpenAI, and he would share his next endeavor in due time (see https://twitter.com/ilyasut/status/1790517455628198322). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ilya Sutskever announces he is joining Anthropic by May 31, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Note that if Ilya joins a subsidiary of the above company, this market will resolve to "Yes." This market may immediately resolve once Ilya Sutskever announces his new endeavor. The primary resolution source will be statements from Ilya.On May 14, Ilya Sutskever announced he was leaving OpenAI, and he would share his next endeavor in due time (see https://twitter.com/ilyasut/status/1790517455628198322). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ilya Sutskever announces he is joining Apple by May 31, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Note that if Ilya joins a subsidiary of the above company, this market will resolve to "Yes." This market may immediately resolve once Ilya Sutskever announces his new endeavor. The primary resolution source will be statements from Ilya.On May 14, Ilya Sutskever announced he was leaving OpenAI, and he would share his next endeavor in due time (see https://twitter.com/ilyasut/status/1790517455628198322). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ilya Sutskever announces he is joining xAI/X by May 31, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Note that if Ilya joins a subsidiary of the above company, this market will resolve to "Yes." This market may immediately resolve once Ilya Sutskever announces his new endeavor. The primary resolution source will be statements from Ilya.On May 14, Ilya Sutskever announced he was leaving OpenAI, and he would share his next endeavor in due time (see https://twitter.com/ilyasut/status/1790517455628198322). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ilya Sutskever announces he is joining or founding a newly created company/organization by May 31, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This market may immediately resolve once Ilya Sutskever announces his new endeavor. On May 14, Ilya Sutskever announced he was leaving OpenAI, and he would share his next endeavor in due time (see https://twitter.com/ilyasut/status/1790517455628198322). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ilya Sutskever announces he is joining another existing company/organization other than Anthropic, Google, X, and Apple by May 31, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source will be statements from Ilya.On May 14, Ilya Sutskever announced he was leaving OpenAI, and he would share his next endeavor in due time (see https://twitter.com/ilyasut/status/1790517455628198322). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ilya Sutskever doesn't announce his future plans by May 31, 11:59 PM ET, or his endeavors do not include joining any company/organization (e.g. If he announces he will be building a cabin in the woods). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This market may immediately resolve once Ilya Sutskever announces his new endeavor.

On May 14, Ilya Sutskever announced he was leaving OpenAI, and he would share his next endeavor in due time (see https://twitter.com/ilyasut/status/1790517455628198322).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ilya Sutskever announces he is joining Google by May 31, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Note that if Ilya joins a subsidiary of the above company, this market will resolve to "Yes." This market may immediately resolve once Ilya Sutskever announces his new endeavor.

The primary resolution source will be statements from Ilya.
Volume
$83,262
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 31, 2024
Binuksan ang Market
May 14, 2024, 7:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
On May 14, Ilya Sutskever announced he was leaving OpenAI, and he would share his next endeavor in due time (see https://twitter.com/ilyasut/status/1790517455628198322). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ilya Sutskever announces he is joining Google by May 31, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Note that if Ilya joins a subsidiary of the above company, this market will resolve to "Yes." This market may immediately resolve once Ilya Sutskever announces his new endeavor. The primary resolution source will be statements from Ilya.

Na-propose ang outcome: No

Walang dispute

Pinal na outcome: No

Mag-ingat sa mga external link.

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Ilya's next company?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 7 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "No announcement in May" sa 100%, sinusundan ng "Google/Deepmind" sa 0%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 100¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 100% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Ilya's next company?" ay naka-generate ng $83.3K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong May 14, 2024. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Ilya's next company?," i-browse ang 7 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Ilya's next company?" ay "No announcement in May" sa 100%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 100% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Google/Deepmind" sa 0%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Ilya's next company?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.