The August 2026 employment report, released September 4, drove the market's overwhelming 150k+ consensus as total nonfarm payrolls rose 162,000—well above the 53k–65k economist consensus—marking the strongest gain in five months after a revised July decline. Gains concentrated in leisure and hospitality (59,000 in food services and drinking places) and local government education (42,000), with manufacturing adding 16,000, while the unemployment rate held at 4.1%. Wage growth remained moderate at 3.1% year-over-year. This outcome aligns with a stable labor market narrative amid mixed prior data, though downward revisions to the headline or components could theoretically shift resolution if material enough to breach the 150k threshold.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update150k+ 100.0%
<-50k <1%
-50k – 0 <1%
0 – 50k <1%
$75,604 Vol.
$75,604 Vol.
Sep 4, 2026
<-50k
No
-50k – 0
No
0 – 50k
No
50k – 100k
No
100k – 150k
No
150k+
Yes
150k+ 100.0%
<-50k <1%
-50k – 0 <1%
0 – 50k <1%
$75,604 Vol.
$75,604 Vol.
Sep 4, 2026
<-50k
$9,871 Vol.
No
-50k – 0
$12,299 Vol.
No
0 – 50k
$30,532 Vol.
No
50k – 100k
$10,494 Vol.
No
100k – 150k
$5,993 Vol.
No
150k+
$6,415 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for August 2026, scheduled to be released on September 4, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htmThe August 2026 employment report, released September 4, drove the market's overwhelming 150k+ consensus as total nonfarm payrolls rose 162,000—well above the 53k–65k economist consensus—marking the strongest gain in five months after a revised July decline. Gains concentrated in leisure and hospitality (59,000 in food services and drinking places) and local government education (42,000), with manufacturing adding 16,000, while the unemployment rate held at 4.1%. Wage growth remained moderate at 3.1% year-over-year. This outcome aligns with a stable labor market narrative amid mixed prior data, though downward revisions to the headline or components could theoretically shift resolution if material enough to breach the 150k threshold.
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for August 2026, scheduled to be released on September 4, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 7, 2026, 1:07 PM ET
Volume
$75,604Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 5, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 7, 2026, 1:07 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for August 2026, scheduled to be released on September 4, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htmThe August 2026 employment report, released September 4, drove the market's overwhelming 150k+ consensus as total nonfarm payrolls rose 162,000—well above the 53k–65k economist consensus—marking the strongest gain in five months after a revised July decline. Gains concentrated in leisure and hospitality (59,000 in food services and drinking places) and local government education (42,000), with manufacturing adding 16,000, while the unemployment rate held at 4.1%. Wage growth remained moderate at 3.1% year-over-year. This outcome aligns with a stable labor market narrative amid mixed prior data, though downward revisions to the headline or components could theoretically shift resolution if material enough to breach the 150k threshold.
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for August 2026, scheduled to be released on September 4, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
Volume
$75,604Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 5, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 7, 2026, 1:07 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
The August 2026 employment report, released September 4, drove the market's overwhelming 150k+ consensus as total nonfarm payrolls rose 162,000—well above the 53k–65k economist consensus—marking the strongest gain in five months after a revised July decline. Gains concentrated in leisure and hospitality (59,000 in food services and drinking places) and local government education (42,000), with manufacturing adding 16,000, while the unemployment rate held at 4.1%. Wage growth remained moderate at 3.1% year-over-year. This outcome aligns with a stable labor market narrative amid mixed prior data, though downward revisions to the headline or components could theoretically shift resolution if material enough to breach the 150k threshold.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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