Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to exactly one dissent at the June 16-17 FOMC meeting, reflecting expectations of restored policy unity following the April 28-29 session's four dissents—the most since 1992—driven by hawkish pushback against an easing bias amid $120 Brent oil shocks and tariff-fueled inflation pressures. This recent fracture, highlighted in the 8-4 vote split, marked a stagflation debate outlier against Powell-era norms of zero or single dissents, with his post-May 15 transition to governor role anticipated to stabilize signals. Key risks include hotter-than-expected May CPI or nonfarm payrolls data reigniting divisions, potentially elevating multi-dissent odds if labor softens unexpectedly.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update1 100.0%
0 <1%
2 <1%
3 <1%
$1,529,898 Vol.
$1,529,898 Vol.
Apr 29, 2026
0
No
1
Yes
2
No
3
No
4+
No
1 100.0%
0 <1%
2 <1%
3 <1%
$1,529,898 Vol.
$1,529,898 Vol.
Apr 29, 2026
0
$26,345 Vol.
No
1
$684,876 Vol.
Yes
2
$20,387 Vol.
No
3
$11,236 Vol.
No
4+
$787,055 Vol.
No
The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for April 28-29, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on April 29, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Reserve Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for April 28-29, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to exactly one dissent at the June 16-17 FOMC meeting, reflecting expectations of restored policy unity following the April 28-29 session's four dissents—the most since 1992—driven by hawkish pushback against an easing bias amid $120 Brent oil shocks and tariff-fueled inflation pressures. This recent fracture, highlighted in the 8-4 vote split, marked a stagflation debate outlier against Powell-era norms of zero or single dissents, with his post-May 15 transition to governor role anticipated to stabilize signals. Key risks include hotter-than-expected May CPI or nonfarm payrolls data reigniting divisions, potentially elevating multi-dissent odds if labor softens unexpectedly.
The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for April 28-29, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on April 29, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Reserve Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for April 28-29, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Reserve Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for April 28-29, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Mar 19, 2026, 8:12 PM ET
Volume
$1,529,898Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Apr 29, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Mar 19, 2026, 8:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for April 28-29, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on April 29, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Reserve Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for April 28-29, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to exactly one dissent at the June 16-17 FOMC meeting, reflecting expectations of restored policy unity following the April 28-29 session's four dissents—the most since 1992—driven by hawkish pushback against an easing bias amid $120 Brent oil shocks and tariff-fueled inflation pressures. This recent fracture, highlighted in the 8-4 vote split, marked a stagflation debate outlier against Powell-era norms of zero or single dissents, with his post-May 15 transition to governor role anticipated to stabilize signals. Key risks include hotter-than-expected May CPI or nonfarm payrolls data reigniting divisions, potentially elevating multi-dissent odds if labor softens unexpectedly.
The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for April 28-29, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on April 29, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Reserve Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for April 28-29, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Reserve Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for April 28-29, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$1,529,898Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Apr 29, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Mar 19, 2026, 8:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to exactly one dissent at the June 16-17 FOMC meeting, reflecting expectations of restored policy unity following the April 28-29 session's four dissents—the most since 1992—driven by hawkish pushback against an easing bias amid $120 Brent oil shocks and tariff-fueled inflation pressures. This recent fracture, highlighted in the 8-4 vote split, marked a stagflation debate outlier against Powell-era norms of zero or single dissents, with his post-May 15 transition to governor role anticipated to stabilize signals. Key risks include hotter-than-expected May CPI or nonfarm payrolls data reigniting divisions, potentially elevating multi-dissent odds if labor softens unexpectedly.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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