Skip to main content
icon for Golden Globes: Best Screenplay

Golden Globes: Best Screenplay

icon for Golden Globes: Best Screenplay

Golden Globes: Best Screenplay

Conclave 99.8%

Emilia Pérez <1%

The Brutalist <1%

A Real Pain <1%

Polymarket

$146,915 Vol.

Conclave 99.8%

Emilia Pérez <1%

The Brutalist <1%

A Real Pain <1%

Polymarket

$146,915 Vol.

icon for Conclave

Conclave

$15,072 Vol.

Yes

icon for Emilia Pérez

Emilia Pérez

$10,228 Vol.

No

icon for Anora

Anora

$99,813 Vol.

No

icon for The Brutalist

The Brutalist

$11,233 Vol.

No

icon for A Real Pain

A Real Pain

$4,712 Vol.

No

icon for The Substance

The Substance

$5,856 Vol.

No

The 82nd Golden Globe Awards is scheduled for January 5, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Peter Straughan wins the Golden Globe for Best Screenplay - Motion Picture for 'Conclave'. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the individual whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. If two people are listed under one title, the last name of the first person listed will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Golden Globes, including data from their website (e.g. https://goldenglobes.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 82nd Golden Globe Awards is scheduled for January 5, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jacques Audiard wins the Golden Globe for Best Screenplay - Motion Picture for 'Emilia Pérez'. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the individual whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. If two people are listed under one title, the last name of the first person listed will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Golden Globes, including data from their website (e.g. https://goldenglobes.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 82nd Golden Globe Awards is scheduled for January 5, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sean Baker wins the Golden Globe for Best Screenplay - Motion Picture for 'Anora'. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the individual whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. If two people are listed under one title, the last name of the first person listed will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Golden Globes, including data from their website (e.g. https://goldenglobes.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 82nd Golden Globe Awards is scheduled for January 5, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Brady Corbet and Mona Fastvold wins the Golden Globe for Best Screenplay - Motion Picture for 'The Brutalist'. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the individual whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. If two people are listed under one title, the last name of the first person listed will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Golden Globes, including data from their website (e.g. https://goldenglobes.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 82nd Golden Globe Awards is scheduled for January 5, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jesse Eisenberg wins the Golden Globe for Best Screenplay - Motion Picture for 'A Real Pain'. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the individual whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. If two people are listed under one title, the last name of the first person listed will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Golden Globes, including data from their website (e.g. https://goldenglobes.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 82nd Golden Globe Awards is scheduled for January 5, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Coralie Fargeat wins the Golden Globe for Best Screenplay - Motion Picture for 'The Substance'. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the individual whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. If two people are listed under one title, the last name of the first person listed will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Golden Globes, including data from their website (e.g. https://goldenglobes.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

The 82nd Golden Globe Awards is scheduled for January 5, 2025.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jacques Audiard wins the Golden Globe for Best Screenplay - Motion Picture for 'Emilia Pérez'. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the individual whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. If two people are listed under one title, the last name of the first person listed will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Golden Globes, including data from their website (e.g. https://goldenglobes.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$146,915
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 5, 2025
Binuksan ang Market
Dec 17, 2024, 6:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 82nd Golden Globe Awards is scheduled for January 5, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jacques Audiard wins the Golden Globe for Best Screenplay - Motion Picture for 'Emilia Pérez'. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the individual whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. If two people are listed under one title, the last name of the first person listed will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Golden Globes, including data from their website (e.g. https://goldenglobes.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Na-propose ang outcome: No

Walang dispute

Pinal na outcome: No

The 82nd Golden Globe Awards is scheduled for January 5, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Peter Straughan wins the Golden Globe for Best Screenplay - Motion Picture for 'Conclave'. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the individual whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. If two people are listed under one title, the last name of the first person listed will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Golden Globes, including data from their website (e.g. https://goldenglobes.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 82nd Golden Globe Awards is scheduled for January 5, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jacques Audiard wins the Golden Globe for Best Screenplay - Motion Picture for 'Emilia Pérez'. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the individual whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. If two people are listed under one title, the last name of the first person listed will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Golden Globes, including data from their website (e.g. https://goldenglobes.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 82nd Golden Globe Awards is scheduled for January 5, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sean Baker wins the Golden Globe for Best Screenplay - Motion Picture for 'Anora'. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the individual whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. If two people are listed under one title, the last name of the first person listed will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Golden Globes, including data from their website (e.g. https://goldenglobes.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 82nd Golden Globe Awards is scheduled for January 5, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Brady Corbet and Mona Fastvold wins the Golden Globe for Best Screenplay - Motion Picture for 'The Brutalist'. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the individual whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. If two people are listed under one title, the last name of the first person listed will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Golden Globes, including data from their website (e.g. https://goldenglobes.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 82nd Golden Globe Awards is scheduled for January 5, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jesse Eisenberg wins the Golden Globe for Best Screenplay - Motion Picture for 'A Real Pain'. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the individual whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. If two people are listed under one title, the last name of the first person listed will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Golden Globes, including data from their website (e.g. https://goldenglobes.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 82nd Golden Globe Awards is scheduled for January 5, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Coralie Fargeat wins the Golden Globe for Best Screenplay - Motion Picture for 'The Substance'. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the individual whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. If two people are listed under one title, the last name of the first person listed will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Golden Globes, including data from their website (e.g. https://goldenglobes.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

The 82nd Golden Globe Awards is scheduled for January 5, 2025.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jacques Audiard wins the Golden Globe for Best Screenplay - Motion Picture for 'Emilia Pérez'. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the individual whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. If two people are listed under one title, the last name of the first person listed will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Golden Globes, including data from their website (e.g. https://goldenglobes.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$146,915
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 5, 2025
Binuksan ang Market
Dec 17, 2024, 6:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 82nd Golden Globe Awards is scheduled for January 5, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jacques Audiard wins the Golden Globe for Best Screenplay - Motion Picture for 'Emilia Pérez'. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the individual whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. If two people are listed under one title, the last name of the first person listed will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Golden Globes, including data from their website (e.g. https://goldenglobes.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Na-propose ang outcome: No

Walang dispute

Pinal na outcome: No

Mag-ingat sa mga external link.

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Golden Globes: Best Screenplay" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 6 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Conclave" sa 100%, sinusundan ng "Emilia Pérez" sa 0%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 100¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 100% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Golden Globes: Best Screenplay" ay naka-generate ng $146.9K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Dec 17, 2024. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Golden Globes: Best Screenplay," i-browse ang 6 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Golden Globes: Best Screenplay" ay "Conclave" sa 100%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 100% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Emilia Pérez" sa 0%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Golden Globes: Best Screenplay" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.