Dan Green secured the Republican nomination for Florida's 9th congressional district in the August 18, 2026 primary, finishing with 25.4% of the vote in a seven-candidate field and narrowly ahead of Ben Butler. Traders assign him near-certain probability due to certified results and projections from outlets including Decision Desk HQ, reflecting endorsements from figures such as Jim Jordan and fundraising momentum in the newly redrawn district. Other candidates, including veterans Marcus Carter and Steve Rance, received minimal support. Late recounts or certification disputes remain possible in close primaries, though current vote margins and rapid projections limit realistic paths for reversal before market resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateFL-09 Republican Primary Winner
Dan Green 100.0%
Jorge Malavet <1%
Marcus Carter <1%
Justin Story <1%
$191,207 Vol.
$191,207 Vol.

Jorge Malavet
No

Dan Green
Yes

Marcus Carter
No

Justin Story
No

Steve Rance
No

Thomas Chalifoux
No

Ben Butler
No

Howard Steven Rance
No

Jorge Martinez
No
Dan Green 100.0%
Jorge Malavet <1%
Marcus Carter <1%
Justin Story <1%
$191,207 Vol.
$191,207 Vol.

Jorge Malavet
No

Dan Green
Yes

Marcus Carter
No

Justin Story
No

Steve Rance
No

Thomas Chalifoux
No

Ben Butler
No

Howard Steven Rance
No

Jorge Martinez
No
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Binuksan ang Market: Dec 23, 2025, 5:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
Dan Green secured the Republican nomination for Florida's 9th congressional district in the August 18, 2026 primary, finishing with 25.4% of the vote in a seven-candidate field and narrowly ahead of Ben Butler. Traders assign him near-certain probability due to certified results and projections from outlets including Decision Desk HQ, reflecting endorsements from figures such as Jim Jordan and fundraising momentum in the newly redrawn district. Other candidates, including veterans Marcus Carter and Steve Rance, received minimal support. Late recounts or certification disputes remain possible in close primaries, though current vote margins and rapid projections limit realistic paths for reversal before market resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update



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