**Republican control of the White House and Congress has not produced a broad federal capital gains rate reduction since the 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act made prior TCJA individual provisions permanent without altering the top 20% long-term rate.** Recent proposals floated by administration officials in August 2026—such as indexing gains to inflation or expanding the primary residence exclusion—target affordability and housing supply ahead of the November midterms but face steep procedural barriers. With few legislative days remaining, House Ways and Means Committee action required, and fiscal concerns over added deficits, enactment of a meaningful rate cut by year-end appears unlikely. Traders price the “No” outcome at 87% to reflect this compressed timeline and lack of active broad-based legislation.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update13% tsansa
BAGO
BAGO
Dec 31, 2026
13% tsansa
BAGO
BAGO
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal taxes individuals owe on long-term capital gains by changing how those gains are taxed or calculated is enacted into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying change does not need to apply to all taxpayers or all long-term capital gains. Legislation will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" if it directly reduces or eliminates federal tax owed on long-term capital gains for individuals generally or for a defined class of taxpayers or gains, including through a tax rate reduction, exemption or exclusion, change in applicable thresholds, change in how basis or gains are calculated, or another statutory mechanism. The qualifying change can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks will count. Changes that only defer when tax is paid, or that reduce a taxpayer's overall federal tax liability without specifically changing the taxation or calculation of long-term capital gains, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Republican control of the White House and Congress has not produced a broad federal capital gains rate reduction since the 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act made prior TCJA individual provisions permanent without altering the top 20% long-term rate.** Recent proposals floated by administration officials in August 2026—such as indexing gains to inflation or expanding the primary residence exclusion—target affordability and housing supply ahead of the November midterms but face steep procedural barriers. With few legislative days remaining, House Ways and Means Committee action required, and fiscal concerns over added deficits, enactment of a meaningful rate cut by year-end appears unlikely. Traders price the “No” outcome at 87% to reflect this compressed timeline and lack of active broad-based legislation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal taxes individuals owe on long-term capital gains by changing how those gains are taxed or calculated is enacted into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying change does not need to apply to all taxpayers or all long-term capital gains. Legislation will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" if it directly reduces or eliminates federal tax owed on long-term capital gains for individuals generally or for a defined class of taxpayers or gains, including through a tax rate reduction, exemption or exclusion, change in applicable thresholds, change in how basis or gains are calculated, or another statutory mechanism. The qualifying change can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks will count. Changes that only defer when tax is paid, or that reduce a taxpayer's overall federal tax liability without specifically changing the taxation or calculation of long-term capital gains, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying change does not need to apply to all taxpayers or all long-term capital gains. Legislation will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" if it directly reduces or eliminates federal tax owed on long-term capital gains for individuals generally or for a defined class of taxpayers or gains, including through a tax rate reduction, exemption or exclusion, change in applicable thresholds, change in how basis or gains are calculated, or another statutory mechanism. The qualifying change can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks will count. Changes that only defer when tax is paid, or that reduce a taxpayer's overall federal tax liability without specifically changing the taxation or calculation of long-term capital gains, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ET
Volume
$296Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Aug 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal taxes individuals owe on long-term capital gains by changing how those gains are taxed or calculated is enacted into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying change does not need to apply to all taxpayers or all long-term capital gains. Legislation will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" if it directly reduces or eliminates federal tax owed on long-term capital gains for individuals generally or for a defined class of taxpayers or gains, including through a tax rate reduction, exemption or exclusion, change in applicable thresholds, change in how basis or gains are calculated, or another statutory mechanism. The qualifying change can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks will count. Changes that only defer when tax is paid, or that reduce a taxpayer's overall federal tax liability without specifically changing the taxation or calculation of long-term capital gains, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Republican control of the White House and Congress has not produced a broad federal capital gains rate reduction since the 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act made prior TCJA individual provisions permanent without altering the top 20% long-term rate.** Recent proposals floated by administration officials in August 2026—such as indexing gains to inflation or expanding the primary residence exclusion—target affordability and housing supply ahead of the November midterms but face steep procedural barriers. With few legislative days remaining, House Ways and Means Committee action required, and fiscal concerns over added deficits, enactment of a meaningful rate cut by year-end appears unlikely. Traders price the “No” outcome at 87% to reflect this compressed timeline and lack of active broad-based legislation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal taxes individuals owe on long-term capital gains by changing how those gains are taxed or calculated is enacted into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying change does not need to apply to all taxpayers or all long-term capital gains. Legislation will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" if it directly reduces or eliminates federal tax owed on long-term capital gains for individuals generally or for a defined class of taxpayers or gains, including through a tax rate reduction, exemption or exclusion, change in applicable thresholds, change in how basis or gains are calculated, or another statutory mechanism. The qualifying change can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks will count. Changes that only defer when tax is paid, or that reduce a taxpayer's overall federal tax liability without specifically changing the taxation or calculation of long-term capital gains, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying change does not need to apply to all taxpayers or all long-term capital gains. Legislation will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" if it directly reduces or eliminates federal tax owed on long-term capital gains for individuals generally or for a defined class of taxpayers or gains, including through a tax rate reduction, exemption or exclusion, change in applicable thresholds, change in how basis or gains are calculated, or another statutory mechanism. The qualifying change can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks will count. Changes that only defer when tax is paid, or that reduce a taxpayer's overall federal tax liability without specifically changing the taxation or calculation of long-term capital gains, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$296Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Aug 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Republican control of the White House and Congress has not produced a broad federal capital gains rate reduction since the 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act made prior TCJA individual provisions permanent without altering the top 20% long-term rate.** Recent proposals floated by administration officials in August 2026—such as indexing gains to inflation or expanding the primary residence exclusion—target affordability and housing supply ahead of the November midterms but face steep procedural barriers. With few legislative days remaining, House Ways and Means Committee action required, and fiscal concerns over added deficits, enactment of a meaningful rate cut by year-end appears unlikely. Traders price the “No” outcome at 87% to reflect this compressed timeline and lack of active broad-based legislation.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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