Mercedes holds a commanding 77.5% implied probability as F1 Constructors' Champion after sweeping the opening three Grands Prix of 2026—George Russell victorious in Australia, Kimi Antonelli in China and Japan—amassing 135 points and a 45-point lead over Ferrari. The Silver Arrows' dominance stems from superior power unit energy management, chassis balance, and reliability under new active aerodynamics regulations, with Antonelli and Russell leading the drivers' standings. Ferrari's 10.5% reflects consistent podiums from Charles Leclerc and Lewis Hamilton, while McLaren's 7.2% acknowledges Oscar Piastri's flashes but highlights inconsistency. Red Bull's 1.5% mirrors their RB22 balance woes and scant points, relegating them amid Haas and Alpine surprises in midfield. Traders price in Mercedes' early momentum despite FIA scrutiny on qualifying loopholes ahead of Miami.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateMercedes 78%
Ferrari 11%
McLaren 7.3%
Red Bull Racing 1.5%
$12,956,967 Vol.
$12,956,967 Vol.

Mercedes
78%

Ferrari
11%

McLaren
7%

Red Bull Racing
2%

Aston Martin
1%

Audi
1%

Williams
1%

Cadillac
1%

Racing Bulls
1%

Haas
1%

Alpine
1%
Mercedes 78%
Ferrari 11%
McLaren 7.3%
Red Bull Racing 1.5%
$12,956,967 Vol.
$12,956,967 Vol.

Mercedes
78%

Ferrari
11%

McLaren
7%

Red Bull Racing
2%

Aston Martin
1%

Audi
1%

Williams
1%

Cadillac
1%

Racing Bulls
1%

Haas
1%

Alpine
1%
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Binuksan ang Market: Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mercedes holds a commanding 77.5% implied probability as F1 Constructors' Champion after sweeping the opening three Grands Prix of 2026—George Russell victorious in Australia, Kimi Antonelli in China and Japan—amassing 135 points and a 45-point lead over Ferrari. The Silver Arrows' dominance stems from superior power unit energy management, chassis balance, and reliability under new active aerodynamics regulations, with Antonelli and Russell leading the drivers' standings. Ferrari's 10.5% reflects consistent podiums from Charles Leclerc and Lewis Hamilton, while McLaren's 7.2% acknowledges Oscar Piastri's flashes but highlights inconsistency. Red Bull's 1.5% mirrors their RB22 balance woes and scant points, relegating them amid Haas and Alpine surprises in midfield. Traders price in Mercedes' early momentum despite FIA scrutiny on qualifying loopholes ahead of Miami.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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