Skip to main content
Market icon

Eurovision 2026: Unang Semi - Final

Market icon

Eurovision 2026: Unang Semi - Final

$476,523 Vol.

May 12, 2026
Polymarket

$476,523 Vol.

Polymarket
Makakapasok ba ang Finland sa unang Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Finland

$334,226 Vol.

98%

Makakapasok ba ang Sweden sa unang Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Sweden

$3,668 Vol.

98%

Aabante ba ang Greece sa unang Semi-Final ng Eurovision? icon

Greece

$5,141 Vol.

97%

Makakapasok ba ang Israel sa unang Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Israel

$19,737 Vol.

92%

Makakapasok ba ang Moldova sa unang Semi-Final ng Eurovision? icon

Moldova

$18,932 Vol.

88%

Makakapasok ba ang Serbia sa unang Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Serbia

$6,334 Vol.

81%

Makakapasok ba ang Croatia sa unang Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Croatia

$8,084 Vol.

76%

Makakapasok ba ang Lithuania sa unang Semi-Final ng Eurovision? icon

Lithuania

$3,316 Vol.

66%

Makakapasok ba ang Montenegro sa unang Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Montenegro

$6,185 Vol.

64%

Makakapasok ba ang Poland sa unang Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Poland

$8,959 Vol.

45%

Aabante ba ang Portugal sa unang Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Portugal

$34,810 Vol.

39%

Makakapasok ba ang Estonia sa unang Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Estonia

$6,915 Vol.

37%

Makakapasok ba ang Georgia sa unang Semi-Final ng Eurovision? icon

Georgia

$2,233 Vol.

36%

Makakapasok ba ang Belgium sa unang Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Belgium

$10,035 Vol.

31%

Makakapasok ba ang San Marino sa unang Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

San Marino

$7,946 Vol.

20%

This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.The Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12 at Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle, pits 15 nations against each other for 10 qualification spots alongside automatic entrants Germany and Italy, fueling trader bets on breakout acts amid combined jury and televote scoring. Running order unveiled April 2—Moldova opening with Satoshi's upbeat "Viva, Moldova!", Sweden's Felicia following with "My System", and Serbia closing—has ignited debates on positioning advantages, with data models highlighting Greece and Finland's strong win equity, bolstered by Nordic and Balkan voting patterns. National selections wrapped in March, but first rehearsals from late April could shift sentiment via staging reveals and live previews before the May 16 Grand Final.

This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$476,523
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 12, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.The Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12 at Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle, pits 15 nations against each other for 10 qualification spots alongside automatic entrants Germany and Italy, fueling trader bets on breakout acts amid combined jury and televote scoring. Running order unveiled April 2—Moldova opening with Satoshi's upbeat "Viva, Moldova!", Sweden's Felicia following with "My System", and Serbia closing—has ignited debates on positioning advantages, with data models highlighting Greece and Finland's strong win equity, bolstered by Nordic and Balkan voting patterns. National selections wrapped in March, but first rehearsals from late April could shift sentiment via staging reveals and live previews before the May 16 Grand Final.

This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$476,523
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 12, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Mag-ingat sa mga external link.

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Eurovision 2026: Unang Semi - Final" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 15 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Finland" sa 98%, sinusundan ng "Sweden" sa 98%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 98¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 98% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Eurovision 2026: Unang Semi - Final" ay naka-generate ng $476.5K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Jan 16, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Eurovision 2026: Unang Semi - Final," i-browse ang 15 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Eurovision 2026: Unang Semi - Final" ay "Finland" sa 98%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 98% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Sweden" sa 98%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Eurovision 2026: Unang Semi - Final" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.