The Late Show With Stephen Colbert’s dominant 87% implied probability stems from its May 2026 cancellation by CBS, which generated significant industry sympathy and positioned its final season as a farewell campaign. Multiple wins at the Creative Arts Emmys for writing, directing, and technical categories further boosted its momentum in the newly unified Outstanding Variety Series category, now structured as an area award where nominees are judged independently. Traders view this as outweighing the historical Emmy success of competitors like Last Week Tonight With John Oliver and The Daily Show, with the September 14 ceremony serving as the decisive resolution point.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateEmmys 2026: Outstanding variety series
“The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” 100.0%
“The Daily Show” <1%
“Jimmy Kimmel Live!” <1%
“Last Week Tonight With John Oliver” <1%
$409,895 Vol.
$409,895 Vol.
“The Daily Show”
No
“Jimmy Kimmel Live!”
No
“Last Week Tonight With John Oliver”
No
“The Late Show With Stephen Colbert”
Yes
“Saturday Night Live”
No
“The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” 100.0%
“The Daily Show” <1%
“Jimmy Kimmel Live!” <1%
“Last Week Tonight With John Oliver” <1%
$409,895 Vol.
$409,895 Vol.
“The Daily Show”
No
“Jimmy Kimmel Live!”
No
“Last Week Tonight With John Oliver”
No
“The Late Show With Stephen Colbert”
Yes
“Saturday Night Live”
No
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Jul 9, 2026, 8:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
The Late Show With Stephen Colbert’s dominant 87% implied probability stems from its May 2026 cancellation by CBS, which generated significant industry sympathy and positioned its final season as a farewell campaign. Multiple wins at the Creative Arts Emmys for writing, directing, and technical categories further boosted its momentum in the newly unified Outstanding Variety Series category, now structured as an area award where nominees are judged independently. Traders view this as outweighing the historical Emmy success of competitors like Last Week Tonight With John Oliver and The Daily Show, with the September 14 ceremony serving as the decisive resolution point.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update


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