Databricks' recent private funding rounds at escalating valuations—reaching $190 billion by August 2026 after a $134 billion Series L in February—anchor trader expectations for a potential IPO market cap, supported by annualized revenue exceeding $7 billion with 80%+ year-over-year growth amid AI-driven demand. CEO comments labeling 2026 a poor window due to competing offerings from SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic have shifted timelines toward 2027, contributing to the 22% probability of no listing by end-2027. With brackets from under $150 billion to $450 billion-plus each near 47% implied probability, markets price in uncertainty over IPO pricing multiples relative to private benchmarks, execution risks in a competitive data platform sector versus peers like Snowflake, and broader equity market conditions at debut.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateDatabricks IPO Closing Market Cap
Databricks IPO Closing Market Cap
$300B-$350B 95%
$350B-$400B 95%
$200B-$250B 94%
$250B-$300B 94%
BAGO
BAGO
Dec 31, 2027
<$150B
-
$150B-$200B
-
$200B-$250B
94%
$250B-$300B
94%
$300B-$350B
95%
$350B-$400B
95%
$400B-$450B
-
$450B+
-
No IPO by December 31, 2027
22%
$300B-$350B 95%
$350B-$400B 95%
$200B-$250B 94%
$250B-$300B 94%
BAGO
BAGO
Dec 31, 2027
<$150B
$18 Vol.
-
$150B-$200B
$18 Vol.
-
$200B-$250B
$18 Vol.
94%
$250B-$300B
$18 Vol.
94%
$300B-$350B
$18 Vol.
95%
$350B-$400B
$18 Vol.
95%
$400B-$450B
$18 Vol.
-
$450B+
$18 Vol.
-
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$272 Vol.
22%
This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Databricks' recent private funding rounds at escalating valuations—reaching $190 billion by August 2026 after a $134 billion Series L in February—anchor trader expectations for a potential IPO market cap, supported by annualized revenue exceeding $7 billion with 80%+ year-over-year growth amid AI-driven demand. CEO comments labeling 2026 a poor window due to competing offerings from SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic have shifted timelines toward 2027, contributing to the 22% probability of no listing by end-2027. With brackets from under $150 billion to $450 billion-plus each near 47% implied probability, markets price in uncertainty over IPO pricing multiples relative to private benchmarks, execution risks in a competitive data platform sector versus peers like Snowflake, and broader equity market conditions at debut.
This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Binuksan ang Market: Jun 30, 2026, 10:07 PM ET
Volume
$416Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2028Binuksan ang Market
Jun 30, 2026, 10:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Databricks' recent private funding rounds at escalating valuations—reaching $190 billion by August 2026 after a $134 billion Series L in February—anchor trader expectations for a potential IPO market cap, supported by annualized revenue exceeding $7 billion with 80%+ year-over-year growth amid AI-driven demand. CEO comments labeling 2026 a poor window due to competing offerings from SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic have shifted timelines toward 2027, contributing to the 22% probability of no listing by end-2027. With brackets from under $150 billion to $450 billion-plus each near 47% implied probability, markets price in uncertainty over IPO pricing multiples relative to private benchmarks, execution risks in a competitive data platform sector versus peers like Snowflake, and broader equity market conditions at debut.
This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Volume
$416Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2028Binuksan ang Market
Jun 30, 2026, 10:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Databricks' recent private funding rounds at escalating valuations—reaching $190 billion by August 2026 after a $134 billion Series L in February—anchor trader expectations for a potential IPO market cap, supported by annualized revenue exceeding $7 billion with 80%+ year-over-year growth amid AI-driven demand. CEO comments labeling 2026 a poor window due to competing offerings from SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic have shifted timelines toward 2027, contributing to the 22% probability of no listing by end-2027. With brackets from under $150 billion to $450 billion-plus each near 47% implied probability, markets price in uncertainty over IPO pricing multiples relative to private benchmarks, execution risks in a competitive data platform sector versus peers like Snowflake, and broader equity market conditions at debut.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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