Traders assign an 87% probability against congressional approval of any Iran nuclear agreement in 2026 because the June 2026 U.S.-Iran Memorandum of Understanding launched a narrow 60-day negotiation window ending around mid-August, yet Senate Republicans have signaled strong resistance under the Iran Nuclear Agreement Review Act. Lawmakers from both parties have demanded full dismantlement of Iran's enrichment capacity, limits on missiles and regional activities, and formal submission for review, with recent war powers resolutions in the House and Senate highlighting partisan friction over executive actions and sanctions relief. These dynamics, combined with the need for durable bipartisan support in a divided Congress, underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the market pricing.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateCongress approves Iran deal in 2026?
Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?
13% tsansa
$12,413 Vol.
$12,413 Vol.
Jan 1, 2027
13% tsansa
$12,413 Vol.
$12,413 Vol.
Jan 1, 2027
This market will resolve to “Yes" if the United States Congress passes a qualifying bill or resolution which, by its operative text, expresses approval regarding an agreement where the Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States are both parties by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying bill or resolution must be a bill or joint resolution passed identically in both chambers, or a Senate resolution giving advice and consent to a treaty submitted by the President.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the United States Congress (https://congress.gov); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Traders assign an 87% probability against congressional approval of any Iran nuclear agreement in 2026 because the June 2026 U.S.-Iran Memorandum of Understanding launched a narrow 60-day negotiation window ending around mid-August, yet Senate Republicans have signaled strong resistance under the Iran Nuclear Agreement Review Act. Lawmakers from both parties have demanded full dismantlement of Iran's enrichment capacity, limits on missiles and regional activities, and formal submission for review, with recent war powers resolutions in the House and Senate highlighting partisan friction over executive actions and sanctions relief. These dynamics, combined with the need for durable bipartisan support in a divided Congress, underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the market pricing.
This market will resolve to “Yes" if the United States Congress passes a qualifying bill or resolution which, by its operative text, expresses approval regarding an agreement where the Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States are both parties by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying bill or resolution must be a bill or joint resolution passed identically in both chambers, or a Senate resolution giving advice and consent to a treaty submitted by the President.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the United States Congress (https://congress.gov); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying bill or resolution must be a bill or joint resolution passed identically in both chambers, or a Senate resolution giving advice and consent to a treaty submitted by the President.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the United States Congress (https://congress.gov); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Jun 16, 2026, 2:24 PM ET
Volume
$12,413Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Jun 16, 2026, 2:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes" if the United States Congress passes a qualifying bill or resolution which, by its operative text, expresses approval regarding an agreement where the Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States are both parties by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying bill or resolution must be a bill or joint resolution passed identically in both chambers, or a Senate resolution giving advice and consent to a treaty submitted by the President.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the United States Congress (https://congress.gov); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Traders assign an 87% probability against congressional approval of any Iran nuclear agreement in 2026 because the June 2026 U.S.-Iran Memorandum of Understanding launched a narrow 60-day negotiation window ending around mid-August, yet Senate Republicans have signaled strong resistance under the Iran Nuclear Agreement Review Act. Lawmakers from both parties have demanded full dismantlement of Iran's enrichment capacity, limits on missiles and regional activities, and formal submission for review, with recent war powers resolutions in the House and Senate highlighting partisan friction over executive actions and sanctions relief. These dynamics, combined with the need for durable bipartisan support in a divided Congress, underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the market pricing.
This market will resolve to “Yes" if the United States Congress passes a qualifying bill or resolution which, by its operative text, expresses approval regarding an agreement where the Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States are both parties by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying bill or resolution must be a bill or joint resolution passed identically in both chambers, or a Senate resolution giving advice and consent to a treaty submitted by the President.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the United States Congress (https://congress.gov); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying bill or resolution must be a bill or joint resolution passed identically in both chambers, or a Senate resolution giving advice and consent to a treaty submitted by the President.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the United States Congress (https://congress.gov); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$12,413Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Jun 16, 2026, 2:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders assign an 87% probability against congressional approval of any Iran nuclear agreement in 2026 because the June 2026 U.S.-Iran Memorandum of Understanding launched a narrow 60-day negotiation window ending around mid-August, yet Senate Republicans have signaled strong resistance under the Iran Nuclear Agreement Review Act. Lawmakers from both parties have demanded full dismantlement of Iran's enrichment capacity, limits on missiles and regional activities, and formal submission for review, with recent war powers resolutions in the House and Senate highlighting partisan friction over executive actions and sanctions relief. These dynamics, combined with the need for durable bipartisan support in a divided Congress, underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the market pricing.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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